Match

Nagoya Grampus vs Tokyo Verdy: prediction and stats

J1 LeagueRegular Season - 38Kick-off on June 6, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Toyota Stadium, Toyota

Nagoya GrampusTokyo Verdy

The Footlab model makes Nagoya Grampus the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Tokyo Verdy. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Nagoya Grampus vs Tokyo Verdy?

A very open match: only 82 Elo points separate Nagoya Grampus (1,953) and Tokyo Verdy (1,872).

Nagoya Grampus win49 %
Draw26 %
Tokyo Verdy win26 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nagoya Grampus have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Tokyo Verdy have 5, 5 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Nagoya Grampus
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 26, 2026Gainare Tottori(home)1-3Emperor Cup
Aug 22, 2026Gamba Osaka(home)3-1J1 League
Aug 15, 2026Kashima(away)1-2J1 League
Aug 8, 2026Shimizu S-pulse(home)0-1J1 League
Jul 25, 2026Consadole Sapporo(away)0-1Friendlies Clubs
Tokyo Verdy
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 26, 2026Thespakusatsu Gunma(home)4-1Emperor Cup
Aug 22, 2026Fagiano Okayama(away)0-0J1 League
Aug 14, 2026Kashiwa Reysol(home)1-3J1 League
Aug 9, 2026Kawasaki Frontale(home)1-1J1 League
Jun 6, 2026Gamba Osaka(home)2-4J1 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Nagoya Grampus win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Tokyo Verdy win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 13, 2025Tokyo Verdy 1-2 Nagoya GrampusEmperor Cup
Jul 5, 2025Nagoya Grampus 0-0 Tokyo VerdyJ1 League
Mar 15, 2025Tokyo Verdy 2-1 Nagoya GrampusJ1 League
Aug 11, 2024Nagoya Grampus 1-0 Tokyo VerdyJ1 League
Jun 22, 2024Tokyo Verdy 1-0 Nagoya GrampusJ1 League
Sep 24, 2017Nagoya Grampus 4-1 Tokyo VerdyJ2 League

Last archived meeting: Tokyo Verdy vs Nagoya Grampus on Aug 13, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Nagoya Grampus score 1.5 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Tokyo Verdy score 1.1 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Nagoya Grampus1.51.8211/1511/15
Tokyo Verdy1.11.458/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Nagoya Grampus sit 13th in J1 League (3 points from 3 matches) and Tokyo Verdy sit 17th (2 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
13Nagoya Grampus3102443
17Tokyo Verdy3021242

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Nagoya Grampus vs Tokyo Verdy?
The Footlab model makes Nagoya Grampus the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Tokyo Verdy.
Where and when is Nagoya Grampus vs Tokyo Verdy played?
Nagoya Grampus vs Tokyo Verdy is played on June 6, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Toyota Stadium, in the J1 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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