Where and when is Machida Zelvia vs Cerezo Osaka played?

Machida Zelvia vs Cerezo Osaka is played on June 6, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Machida Gion Stadium, in the J1 League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Machida Zelvia vs Cerezo Osaka: prediction and stats

J1 LeagueRegular Season - 38Kick-off on June 6, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Machida Gion Stadium, Tokyo

Machida Zelvia

Cerezo Osaka

The Footlab model makes Machida Zelvia the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Cerezo Osaka. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Machida Zelvia vs Cerezo Osaka?

A very open match: only 97 Elo points separate Machida Zelvia (2,116) and Cerezo Osaka (2,019).

Machida Zelvia win49 %

Draw26 %

Cerezo Osaka win26 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Machida Zelvia have 9 wins, 5 draws and 1 defeats; Cerezo Osaka have 9, 4 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Machida Zelvia
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 26, 2026	Grulla Morioka(home)	3-0	Emperor Cup
Aug 23, 2026	Urawa(home)	3-1	J1 League
Aug 15, 2026	JEF United Chiba(away)	4-0	J1 League
Aug 8, 2026	FC Tokyo(away)	5-1	J1 League
Jul 18, 2026	Fujieda MYFC(home)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs

Cerezo Osaka
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 26, 2026	FC Gifu(home)	3-1	Emperor Cup
Aug 22, 2026	Shimizu S-pulse(home)	1-0	J1 League
Aug 15, 2026	Avispa Fukuoka(away)	0-3	J1 League
Aug 8, 2026	Fagiano Okayama(home)	2-1	J1 League
Jul 29, 2026	Borussia Dortmund(home)	1-0	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Machida Zelvia win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Cerezo Osaka win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Aug 16, 2025	Machida Zelvia 3-0 Cerezo Osaka	J1 League
Apr 29, 2025	Cerezo Osaka 1-2 Machida Zelvia	J1 League
Aug 7, 2024	Cerezo Osaka 0-0 Machida Zelvia	J1 League
Jun 9, 2024	Machida Zelvia 2-2 Cerezo Osaka	J-League Cup
Jun 5, 2024	Cerezo Osaka 1-3 Machida Zelvia	J-League Cup
May 15, 2024	Machida Zelvia 2-1 Cerezo Osaka	J1 League

Last archived meeting: Machida Zelvia vs Cerezo Osaka on Aug 16, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Machida Zelvia score 2.0 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Cerezo Osaka score 1.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Machida Zelvia	2.0	0.7	6	8/15	8/15
Cerezo Osaka	1.9	1.1	4	10/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Machida Zelvia sit 1st in J1 League (9 points from 3 matches) and Cerezo Osaka sit 6th (6 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Machida Zelvia	3	3	0	0	12	2	9
6	Cerezo Osaka	3	2	0	1	3	4	6

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Machida Zelvia vs Cerezo Osaka?: The Footlab model makes Machida Zelvia the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Cerezo Osaka.
Where and when is Machida Zelvia vs Cerezo Osaka played?: Machida Zelvia vs Cerezo Osaka is played on June 6, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Machida Gion Stadium, in the J1 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.