Kilmarnock vs Ayr Utd: result 1-0 and analysis
Friendlies ClubsClub Friendlies 3Kick-off on July 4, 2025 at 06:30 PM (UTC)The BBSP Stadium Rugby Park, Kilmarnock
Full time
What was the result of Kilmarnock vs Ayr Utd?
Kilmarnock won 1-0 on July 4, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 46′G. KiltieKilmarnock
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kilmarnock have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; Ayr Utd have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 18, 2025 | Heart Of Midlothian(home) | 0-1 | Premiership |
| May 14, 2025 | Motherwell(away) | 0-3 | Premiership |
| May 10, 2025 | Dundee(home) | 3-2 | Premiership |
| May 3, 2025 | ST Johnstone(away) | 2-0 | Premiership |
| Apr 26, 2025 | Ross County(home) | 2-0 | Premiership |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 1, 2025 | Spartans(away) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 9, 2025 | Partick(home) | 0-2 | Premiership |
| May 6, 2025 | Partick(away) | 1-0 | Premiership |
| May 2, 2025 | Airdrie United(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Apr 26, 2025 | Queen's Park(home) | 2-2 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Kilmarnock win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Ayr Utd win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 11, 2024 | Ayr Utd 3-2 Kilmarnock | Friendlies Clubs |
| Mar 11, 2022 | Ayr Utd 1-3 Kilmarnock | Championship |
| Feb 9, 2022 | Kilmarnock 1-2 Ayr Utd | Championship |
| Oct 26, 2021 | Ayr Utd 0-1 Kilmarnock | Championship |
| Aug 2, 2021 | Kilmarnock 2-0 Ayr Utd | Championship |
| Jul 14, 2017 | Ayr Utd 1-0 Kilmarnock | League Cup |
Last archived meeting: Ayr Utd vs Kilmarnock on Jul 11, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Kilmarnock score 1.3 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Ayr Utd score 1.3 and concede 1.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kilmarnock | 1.3 | 1.8 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Ayr Utd | 1.3 | 1.6 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
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