Kilmarnock vs Ayr Utd: result 3-2 and analysis
League CupRound of 16Kick-off on August 14, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)The BBSP Stadium Rugby Park, Kilmarnock
Full time
What was the result of Kilmarnock vs Ayr Utd?
Kilmarnock won 3-2 on August 14, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 5′O. StirtonAyr Utd
- 43′J. HugillKilmarnock
- 48′R. TaylorAyr Utd
- 79′M. Schjønning-LarsenKilmarnock
- 89′N. CleșcencoKilmarnock
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kilmarnock have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Ayr Utd have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 2026 | Celtic(home) | 1-5 | Premiership |
| Aug 2, 2026 | ST Johnstone(away) | 3-4 | Premiership |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Peterhead(away) | 0-0 | League Cup |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Hamilton Academical(home) | 1-0 | League Cup |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Elgin City(away) | 1-0 | League Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Dunfermline(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Arbroath(home) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Alloa Athletic(home) | 4-1 | League Cup |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Edinburgh City(home) | 2-0 | League Cup |
| Jul 14, 2026 | Falkirk(away) | 1-0 | League Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Kilmarnock win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Ayr Utd win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 4, 2025 | Kilmarnock 1-0 Ayr Utd | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 11, 2024 | Ayr Utd 3-2 Kilmarnock | Friendlies Clubs |
| Mar 11, 2022 | Ayr Utd 1-3 Kilmarnock | Championship |
| Feb 9, 2022 | Kilmarnock 1-2 Ayr Utd | Championship |
| Oct 26, 2021 | Ayr Utd 0-1 Kilmarnock | Championship |
| Aug 2, 2021 | Kilmarnock 2-0 Ayr Utd | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Kilmarnock score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Ayr Utd score 1.7 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kilmarnock | 1.9 | 1.3 | 7 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
| Ayr Utd | 1.7 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy