Kilmarnock vs Ayr Utd: result 3-2 and analysis
League CupRound of 16Kick-off on August 14, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)The BBSP Stadium Rugby Park, Kilmarnock
Full time
What was the result of Kilmarnock vs Ayr Utd?
Kilmarnock won 3-2 on August 14, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 5′O. StirtonAyr Utd
- 43′J. HugillKilmarnock
- 48′R. TaylorAyr Utd
- 79′M. Schjønning-LarsenKilmarnock
- 89′N. CleșcencoKilmarnock
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Kilmarnock win at 64%: prediction correct. Most likely score announced: 2-0. Actual score: 3-2.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Official lineup for Kilmarnock vs Ayr Utd
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Kilmarnock
4-3-1-2- 10T. John-Jules
- 9J. Hugill
- 11G. Kiltie
- 18T. Lowery
- 36A. Tshibola
- 8E. Ring
- 21M. Schjønning-Larsen
- 6R. Deas
- 14G. Stanger
- 2J. Brandon
- 1M. Stryjek
Ayr Utd
4-2-3-1- 7O. Stirton
- 8L. King
- 16B. Summers
- 11R. Taylor
- 33S. McMann
- 6R. Lyon
- 3L. Dick
- 5K. Holt
- 20L. McBeth
- 32D. Watret
- 1H. Stone
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kilmarnock have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Ayr Utd have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 2026 | Celtic(home) | 1-5 | Premiership |
| Aug 2, 2026 | ST Johnstone(away) | 3-4 | Premiership |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Peterhead(away) | 0-0 | League Cup |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Hamilton Academical(home) | 1-0 | League Cup |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Elgin City(away) | 1-0 | League Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Dunfermline(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Arbroath(home) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Alloa Athletic(home) | 4-1 | League Cup |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Edinburgh City(home) | 2-0 | League Cup |
| Jul 14, 2026 | Falkirk(away) | 1-0 | League Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Kilmarnock wins, 0 draws, 2 Ayr Utd wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 4, 2025 | Kilmarnock 1-0 Ayr Utd | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 11, 2024 | Ayr Utd 3-2 Kilmarnock | Friendlies Clubs |
| Mar 11, 2022 | Ayr Utd 1-3 Kilmarnock | Championship |
| Feb 9, 2022 | Kilmarnock 1-2 Ayr Utd | Championship |
| Oct 26, 2021 | Ayr Utd 0-1 Kilmarnock | Championship |
| Aug 2, 2021 | Kilmarnock 2-0 Ayr Utd | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Kilmarnock score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Ayr Utd score 1.7 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kilmarnock | 1.9 | 1.3 | 7 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
| Ayr Utd | 1.7 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Kilmarnock vs Ayr Utd?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy