King's Lynn Town vs Morecambe: prediction and stats
National League - NorthNational League North - 30Kick-off on January 30, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Walks, King's Lynn, Norfolk
The Footlab model makes King's Lynn Town the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Morecambe. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win King's Lynn Town vs Morecambe?
King's Lynn Town starts as the favourite with a 106-point Elo edge (1,766 vs 1,659).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, King's Lynn Town have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Morecambe have 2, 3 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Marine(home) | 1-4 | National League - North |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Brackley Town(away) | 2-0 | National League - North |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chester(away) | 0-2 | National League - North |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Harborough Town(home) | 1-1 | National League - North |
| Jul 4, 2026 | Norwich(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Radcliffe(away) | 1-2 | National League - North |
| Aug 18, 2026 | South Shields(home) | 0-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Harborough Town(away) | 0-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Spennymoor Town(home) | 1-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Barrow(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
King's Lynn Town score 1.1 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Morecambe score 1.1 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| King's Lynn Town | 1.1 | 1.6 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Morecambe | 1.1 | 2.1 | 1 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
King's Lynn Town sit 16th in National League - North (4 points from 4 matches) and Morecambe sit 24th (1 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | King's Lynn Town | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 4 |
| 24 | Morecambe | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for King's Lynn Town vs Morecambe?
- The Footlab model makes King's Lynn Town the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Morecambe.
- Where and when is King's Lynn Town vs Morecambe played?
- King's Lynn Town vs Morecambe is played on January 30, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Walks, in the National League - North.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.