King's Lynn Town vs Spalding United: prediction and stats
National League - NorthNational League North - 23Kick-off on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Walks, King's Lynn, Norfolk
The Footlab model makes Spalding United the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for King's Lynn Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win King's Lynn Town vs Spalding United?
Spalding United starts as the favourite with a 140-point Elo edge (1,938 vs 1,798).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, King's Lynn Town have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Spalding United have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Marine(home) | 1-4 | National League - North |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Brackley Town(away) | 2-0 | National League - North |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chester(away) | 0-2 | National League - North |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Harborough Town(home) | 1-1 | National League - North |
| Jul 4, 2026 | Norwich(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Chester(away) | 0-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Macclesfield(home) | 0-0 | National League - North |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Oxford City(home) | 0-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Radcliffe(away) | 2-0 | National League - North |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Scunthorpe(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 King's Lynn Town win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Spalding United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 2, 2025 | King's Lynn Town 0-2 Spalding United | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: King's Lynn Town vs Spalding United on Aug 2, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
King's Lynn Town score 1.1 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Spalding United score 1.7 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| King's Lynn Town | 1.1 | 1.6 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Spalding United | 1.7 | 1.4 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
King's Lynn Town sit 16th in National League - North (4 points from 4 matches) and Spalding United sit 13th (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Spalding United | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| 16 | King's Lynn Town | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for King's Lynn Town vs Spalding United?
- The Footlab model makes Spalding United the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for King's Lynn Town.
- Where and when is King's Lynn Town vs Spalding United played?
- King's Lynn Town vs Spalding United is played on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Walks, in the National League - North.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.