Match

Ehime FC vs Kitakyushu: prediction and stats

J3 LeagueRegular Season - 5Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Ningineer Stadium, Matsuyama

Ehime FCKitakyushu

The Footlab model makes Ehime FC the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 20% for Kitakyushu. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Ehime FC vs Kitakyushu?

A very open match: only 91 Elo points separate Ehime FC (1,709) and Kitakyushu (1,618).

Ehime FC win56 %
Draw24 %
Kitakyushu win20 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ehime FC have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; Kitakyushu have 2, 4 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Ehime FC
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Matsumoto Yamaga(away)2-2J3 League
Aug 19, 2026Pacific University(home)2-1Emperor Cup
Aug 16, 2026Gainare Tottori(home)4-0J3 League
Aug 9, 2026Nara Club(home)4-1J3 League
Jun 6, 2026Fujieda MYFC(away)0-1J2/J3 League
Kitakyushu
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Tochigi SC(away)2-2J3 League
Aug 19, 2026Okinawa SV(home)1-2Emperor Cup
Aug 15, 2026Kamatamare Sanuki(home)0-0J3 League
Jul 18, 2026Yokohama FC(away)2-3Friendlies Clubs
Jun 7, 2026Tochigi SC(away)1-2J2/J3 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Ehime FC win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 Kitakyushu win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 15, 2023Ehime FC 1-0 KitakyushuJ3 League
Jun 3, 2023Kitakyushu 0-1 Ehime FCJ3 League
Oct 16, 2022Ehime FC 1-1 KitakyushuJ3 League
Apr 17, 2022Kitakyushu 0-0 Ehime FCJ3 League
Aug 15, 2021Ehime FC 2-2 KitakyushuJ2 League
Jun 20, 2021Kitakyushu 0-2 Ehime FCJ2 League

Last archived meeting: Ehime FC vs Kitakyushu on Oct 15, 2023

How many goals should we expect?

Ehime FC score 1.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Kitakyushu score 1.1 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Ehime FC1.90.965/158/15
Kitakyushu1.11.9210/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Ehime FC sit 2nd in J3 League (7 points from 3 matches) and Kitakyushu sit 15th (2 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Ehime FC32101037
15Kitakyushu2020222

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Ehime FC vs Kitakyushu?
The Footlab model makes Ehime FC the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 20% for Kitakyushu.
Where and when is Ehime FC vs Kitakyushu played?
Ehime FC vs Kitakyushu is played on September 5, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Ningineer Stadium, in the J3 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Ehime FC and Kitakyushu

Ready to know everything about football?