Where and when is Kitakyushu vs Parceiro Nagano played?

Kitakyushu vs Parceiro Nagano is played on October 24, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Mikuni World Stadium, in the J3 League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Kitakyushu vs Parceiro Nagano: prediction and stats

J3 LeagueRegular Season - 13Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Mikuni World Stadium, Kitakyushu

Kitakyushu

Parceiro Nagano

The Footlab model makes Kitakyushu the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Parceiro Nagano. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Kitakyushu vs Parceiro Nagano?

A very open match: only 23 Elo points separate Kitakyushu (1,618) and Parceiro Nagano (1,595).

Kitakyushu win46 %

Draw27 %

Parceiro Nagano win27 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kitakyushu have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Parceiro Nagano have 5, 5 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Kitakyushu
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Tochigi SC(away)	2-2	J3 League
Aug 19, 2026	Okinawa SV(home)	1-2	Emperor Cup
Aug 15, 2026	Kamatamare Sanuki(home)	0-0	J3 League
Jul 18, 2026	Yokohama FC(away)	2-3	Friendlies Clubs
Jun 7, 2026	Tochigi SC(away)	1-2	J2/J3 League

Parceiro Nagano
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Roasso Kumamoto(away)	1-0	J3 League
Aug 19, 2026	Fukui United(home)	2-1	Emperor Cup
Aug 16, 2026	Osaka(away)	2-4	J3 League
Aug 8, 2026	Renofa Yamaguchi(home)	1-0	J3 League
Jun 5, 2026	Kamatamare Sanuki(away)	0-0	J2/J3 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Kitakyushu win(s), 4 draw(s), 1 Parceiro Nagano win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Aug 30, 2025	Parceiro Nagano 1-1 Kitakyushu	J3 League
Feb 22, 2025	Kitakyushu 2-0 Parceiro Nagano	J3 League
Nov 16, 2024	Kitakyushu 1-1 Parceiro Nagano	J3 League
Apr 27, 2024	Parceiro Nagano 3-2 Kitakyushu	J3 League
Nov 19, 2023	Parceiro Nagano 2-2 Kitakyushu	J3 League
Jun 24, 2023	Kitakyushu 1-1 Parceiro Nagano	J3 League

Last archived meeting: Parceiro Nagano vs Kitakyushu on Aug 30, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Kitakyushu score 1.1 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Parceiro Nagano score 0.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Kitakyushu	1.1	1.9	2	10/15	10/15
Parceiro Nagano	0.9	1.1	7	6/15	5/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Kitakyushu sit 15th in J3 League (2 points from 2 matches) and Parceiro Nagano sit 5th (6 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
5	Parceiro Nagano	3	2	0	1	4	4	6
15	Kitakyushu	2	0	2	0	2	2	2

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Kitakyushu vs Parceiro Nagano?: The Footlab model makes Kitakyushu the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Parceiro Nagano.
Where and when is Kitakyushu vs Parceiro Nagano played?: Kitakyushu vs Parceiro Nagano is played on October 24, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Mikuni World Stadium, in the J3 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.