Match

Kitakyushu vs Parceiro Nagano: prediction and stats

J3 LeagueRegular Season - 13Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Mikuni World Stadium, Kitakyushu

KitakyushuParceiro Nagano

The Footlab AI model makes Kitakyushu the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Parceiro Nagano. The most likely score is 1-1. If Kitakyushu wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Kitakyushu vs Parceiro Nagano?

A very open match: only 3 Elo points separate Kitakyushu (1,617) and Parceiro Nagano (1,615).

45%26%29%
Kitakyushu winDrawParceiro Nagano win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Kitakyushu vs Parceiro Nagano

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Kitakyushu

4-3-3
  1. 37K. Yoshida
  2. 11Koh Seung-Jin
  3. 10R. Nagai
  1. 66D. Takahashi
  2. 18S. Hiramatsu
  3. 51Yutaro Sakashita
  1. 3R. Kamihashi
  2. 28K. Yokokubo
  3. 30K. Fukumori
  4. 20S. Yasumitsu
  1. 31K. Otani

Parceiro Nagano

4-3-3
  1. 18S. Yoshizawa
  2. 19H. Shoji
  3. 51S. Shimizu
  1. 28K. Fujikawa
  2. 8T. Kondo
  3. 40Y. Hasegawa
  1. 7Y. Ono
  2. 13Y. Tsukegi
  3. 26Shunki Nakata
  4. 4E. Gyotoku
  1. 21K. Nakano

Computed on October 14, 2026 at 12:11 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kitakyushu have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Parceiro Nagano have 5, 5 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Kitakyushu
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Nara Club(away)0-2J3 League
Oct 3, 2026Kochi United(home)2-0J3 League
Sep 29, 2026Nagoya Grampus(home)1-3J-League Cup
Sep 26, 2026Kagoshima United(home)1-1J3 League
Sep 20, 2026Sagamihara(away)2-1J3 League
Parceiro Nagano
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Kochi United(away)3-1J3 League
Oct 3, 2026Nara Club(home)0-1J3 League
Sep 26, 2026Fukushima United(away)3-4J3 League
Sep 20, 2026FC Gifu(home)1-0J3 League
Sep 13, 2026Tochigi SC(home)1-1J3 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Kitakyushu win, 4 draws, 1 Parceiro Nagano win.

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 30, 2025Parceiro Nagano 1-1 KitakyushuJ3 League
Feb 22, 2025Kitakyushu 2-0 Parceiro NaganoJ3 League
Nov 16, 2024Kitakyushu 1-1 Parceiro NaganoJ3 League
Apr 27, 2024Parceiro Nagano 3-2 KitakyushuJ3 League
Nov 19, 2023Parceiro Nagano 2-2 KitakyushuJ3 League
Jun 24, 2023Kitakyushu 1-1 Parceiro NaganoJ3 League

Last archived meeting: Parceiro Nagano vs Kitakyushu on Aug 30, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Kitakyushu score 1.2 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Parceiro Nagano score 1.1 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Kitakyushu1.21.9310/159/15
Parceiro Nagano1.11.467/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Kitakyushu sit 16th in J3 League (10 points from 10 matches) and Parceiro Nagano sit 11th (14 points from 10 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
11Parceiro Nagano10424141414
16Kitakyushu10244121810

A question about Kitakyushu vs Parceiro Nagano?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Kitakyushu vs Parceiro Nagano?
The Footlab AI model makes Kitakyushu the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Parceiro Nagano.
Where and when is Kitakyushu vs Parceiro Nagano played?
Kitakyushu vs Parceiro Nagano is played on October 24, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Mikuni World Stadium, in the J3 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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