Where and when is Parceiro Nagano vs Kitakyushu played?

Parceiro Nagano vs Kitakyushu is played on November 28, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Minami Nagano Sports Park Stadium, in the J3 League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Parceiro Nagano vs Kitakyushu: prediction and stats

J3 LeagueRegular Season - 20Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Minami Nagano Sports Park Stadium, Nagano

Parceiro Nagano

Kitakyushu

The Footlab model makes Kitakyushu the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Parceiro Nagano. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Parceiro Nagano vs Kitakyushu?

A very open match: only 23 Elo points separate Parceiro Nagano (1,597) and Kitakyushu (1,620).

Parceiro Nagano win34 %

Draw28 %

Kitakyushu win39 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Parceiro Nagano have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Kitakyushu have 2, 4 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Parceiro Nagano
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Roasso Kumamoto(away)	1-0	J3 League
Aug 19, 2026	Fukui United(home)	2-1	Emperor Cup
Aug 16, 2026	Osaka(away)	2-4	J3 League
Aug 8, 2026	Renofa Yamaguchi(home)	1-0	J3 League
Jun 5, 2026	Kamatamare Sanuki(away)	0-0	J2/J3 League

Kitakyushu
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Tochigi SC(away)	2-2	J3 League
Aug 19, 2026	Okinawa SV(home)	1-2	Emperor Cup
Aug 15, 2026	Kamatamare Sanuki(home)	0-0	J3 League
Jul 18, 2026	Yokohama FC(away)	2-3	Friendlies Clubs
Jun 7, 2026	Tochigi SC(away)	1-2	J2/J3 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Parceiro Nagano win(s), 4 draw(s), 1 Kitakyushu win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Aug 30, 2025	Parceiro Nagano 1-1 Kitakyushu	J3 League
Feb 22, 2025	Kitakyushu 2-0 Parceiro Nagano	J3 League
Nov 16, 2024	Kitakyushu 1-1 Parceiro Nagano	J3 League
Apr 27, 2024	Parceiro Nagano 3-2 Kitakyushu	J3 League
Nov 19, 2023	Parceiro Nagano 2-2 Kitakyushu	J3 League
Jun 24, 2023	Kitakyushu 1-1 Parceiro Nagano	J3 League

Last archived meeting: Parceiro Nagano vs Kitakyushu on Aug 30, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Parceiro Nagano score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Kitakyushu score 1.1 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Parceiro Nagano	0.9	1.1	7	6/15	5/15
Kitakyushu	1.1	1.9	2	10/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Parceiro Nagano sit 5th in J3 League (6 points from 3 matches) and Kitakyushu sit 15th (2 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
5	Parceiro Nagano	3	2	0	1	4	4	6
15	Kitakyushu	2	0	2	0	2	2	2

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Parceiro Nagano vs Kitakyushu?: The Footlab model makes Kitakyushu the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Parceiro Nagano.
Where and when is Parceiro Nagano vs Kitakyushu played?: Parceiro Nagano vs Kitakyushu is played on November 28, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Minami Nagano Sports Park Stadium, in the J3 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.