Sagamihara vs FC Ryukyu: prediction and stats
J3 LeagueRegular Season - 27Kick-off on March 17, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Sagamihara Gion Stadium, Sagamihara
The Footlab model makes Sagamihara the favourite at 58%, against 23% for a draw and 19% for FC Ryukyu. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sagamihara vs FC Ryukyu?
Sagamihara starts as the favourite with a 169-point Elo edge (1,770 vs 1,601).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sagamihara have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; FC Ryukyu have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Kanazawa(home) | 2-1 | J3 League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Thespakusatsu Gunma(away) | 4-1 | J3 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Roasso Kumamoto(home) | 0-0 | J3 League |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Roasso Kumamoto(home) | 3-0 | J2/J3 League |
| May 30, 2026 | Fujieda MYFC(home) | 4-3 | J2/J3 League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Osaka(away) | 2-2 | J3 League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Renofa Yamaguchi(away) | 0-1 | J3 League |
| Jul 17, 2026 | Urawa(home) | 5-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Fukushima United(away) | 1-1 | J2/J3 League |
| May 31, 2026 | Imabari(away) | 2-1 | J2/J3 League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Sagamihara win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 FC Ryukyu win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2025 | Sagamihara 4-1 FC Ryukyu | J3 League |
| Apr 5, 2025 | FC Ryukyu 2-0 Sagamihara | J3 League |
| Oct 12, 2024 | FC Ryukyu 2-1 Sagamihara | J3 League |
| Mar 17, 2024 | Sagamihara 0-0 FC Ryukyu | J3 League |
| Aug 26, 2023 | FC Ryukyu 0-4 Sagamihara | J3 League |
| May 28, 2023 | Sagamihara 0-0 FC Ryukyu | J3 League |
Last archived meeting: Sagamihara vs FC Ryukyu on Nov 16, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Sagamihara score 1.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; FC Ryukyu score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sagamihara | 1.8 | 1.5 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| FC Ryukyu | 1.1 | 1.5 | 2 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sagamihara sit 3rd in J3 League (7 points from 3 matches) and FC Ryukyu sit 18th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Sagamihara | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 7 |
| 18 | FC Ryukyu | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sagamihara vs FC Ryukyu?
- The Footlab model makes Sagamihara the favourite at 58%, against 23% for a draw and 19% for FC Ryukyu.
- Where and when is Sagamihara vs FC Ryukyu played?
- Sagamihara vs FC Ryukyu is played on March 17, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Sagamihara Gion Stadium, in the J3 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 17, 2027KanazawavsBiwako Shiga
- Mar 17, 2027Tochigi SCvsKamatamare Sanuki
- Mar 17, 2027Ehime FCvsParceiro Nagano
- Mar 17, 2027Thespakusatsu GunmavsRenofa Yamaguchi
- Mar 17, 2027Kagoshima UnitedvsKitakyushu
- Mar 17, 2027Fukushima UnitedvsOsaka
- Mar 17, 2027Gainare TottorivsMatsumoto Yamaga
- Mar 17, 2027Kochi UnitedvsFC Gifu