Where and when is Flota Świnoujście vs Lech Poznań II played?

Flota Świnoujście vs Lech Poznań II is played on May 15, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 2.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Flota Świnoujście vs Lech Poznań II: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 2Group II - 32Kick-off on May 15, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Świnoujście

Flota Świnoujście

Lech Poznań II

The Footlab model makes Lech Poznań II the favourite at 40%, against 24% for a draw and 37% for Flota Świnoujście. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Flota Świnoujście vs Lech Poznań II?

A very open match: only 57 Elo points separate Flota Świnoujście (1,722) and Lech Poznań II (1,779).

Flota Świnoujście win37 %

Draw24 %

Lech Poznań II win40 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Flota Świnoujście have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Lech Poznań II have 6, 4 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Flota Świnoujście
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Chemik Bydgoszcz(away)	1-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026	Victoria Września(home)	5-0	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 15, 2026	Bałtyk Koszalin(away)	2-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 8, 2026	Kotwica Kórnik(home)	2-0	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 1, 2026	Kalisz(home)	0-1	III Liga - Group 2

Lech Poznań II
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Gedania Gdansk(away)	3-2	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026	Lipno Stęszew(home)	1-0	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 15, 2026	Stargard Szczeciński(away)	2-4	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 8, 2026	Chemik Bydgoszcz(home)	1-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 1, 2026	Victoria Września(away)	5-2	III Liga - Group 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Flota Świnoujście win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Lech Poznań II win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 19, 2026	Lech Poznań II 3-1 Flota Świnoujście	III Liga - Group 2
Sep 28, 2025	Flota Świnoujście 1-2 Lech Poznań II	III Liga - Group 2
May 25, 2025	Lech Poznań II 3-1 Flota Świnoujście	III Liga - Group 2
Nov 2, 2024	Flota Świnoujście 2-5 Lech Poznań II	III Liga - Group 2

Last archived meeting: Lech Poznań II vs Flota Świnoujście on Apr 19, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Flota Świnoujście score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Lech Poznań II score 2.1 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Flota Świnoujście	1.3	1.3	4	7/15	8/15
Lech Poznań II	2.1	1.9	3	11/15	12/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Flota Świnoujście sit 5th in III Liga - Group 2 (10 points from 5 matches) and Lech Poznań II sit 6th (10 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
5	Flota Świnoujście	5	3	1	1	10	3	10
6	Lech Poznań II	5	3	1	1	12	9	10

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Flota Świnoujście vs Lech Poznań II?: The Footlab model makes Lech Poznań II the favourite at 40%, against 24% for a draw and 37% for Flota Świnoujście.
Where and when is Flota Świnoujście vs Lech Poznań II played?: Flota Świnoujście vs Lech Poznań II is played on May 15, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.