Kotwica Kórnik vs Kluczevia Stargard: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 2Group II - 32Kick-off on May 15, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Kluczevia Stargard the favourite at 58%, against 21% for a draw and 21% for Kotwica Kórnik. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kotwica Kórnik vs Kluczevia Stargard?
Kluczevia Stargard starts as the favourite with a 139-point Elo edge (1,774 vs 1,634).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kotwica Kórnik have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Kluczevia Stargard have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Victoria Września(away) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Bałtyk Koszalin(home) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kalisz(home) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Flota Świnoujście(away) | 0-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Luzino(home) | 2-6 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Grom Nowy Staw(away) | 4-3 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Gedania Gdansk(home) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Lipno Stęszew(away) | 4-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Stargard Szczeciński(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Chemik Bydgoszcz(away) | 3-3 | III Liga - Group 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Kotwica Kórnik score 1.1 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Kluczevia Stargard score 2.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kotwica Kórnik | 1.1 | 2.1 | 1 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Kluczevia Stargard | 2.1 | 1.7 | 2 | 12/15 | 14/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kotwica Kórnik sit 18th in III Liga - Group 2 (1 points from 5 matches) and Kluczevia Stargard sit 2nd (11 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Kluczevia Stargard | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 10 | 11 |
| 18 | Kotwica Kórnik | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kotwica Kórnik vs Kluczevia Stargard?
- The Footlab model makes Kluczevia Stargard the favourite at 58%, against 21% for a draw and 21% for Kotwica Kórnik.
- Where and when is Kotwica Kórnik vs Kluczevia Stargard played?
- Kotwica Kórnik vs Kluczevia Stargard is played on May 15, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC), in the III Liga - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 15, 2027Chemik BydgoszczvsNoteć Czarnków
- May 15, 2027Stargard SzczecińskivsUnia Swarzędz
- May 15, 2027KaliszvsGedania Gdansk
- May 15, 2027Bałtyk KoszalinvsWda Świecie
- May 15, 2027Flota ŚwinoujścievsLech Poznań II
- May 15, 2027LuzinovsPolonia Środa
- May 15, 2027Victoria WrześniavsElana Toruń
- May 15, 2027Lipno StęszewvsGrom Nowy Staw