Match

Kotwica Kórnik vs Kluczevia Stargard: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 2Group II - 32Kick-off on May 15, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)

Kotwica KórnikKluczevia Stargard

The Footlab model makes Kluczevia Stargard the favourite at 58%, against 21% for a draw and 21% for Kotwica Kórnik. The most likely score is 1-2.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Kotwica Kórnik vs Kluczevia Stargard?

Kluczevia Stargard starts as the favourite with a 139-point Elo edge (1,774 vs 1,634).

Kotwica Kórnik win21 %
Draw21 %
Kluczevia Stargard win58 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kotwica Kórnik have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Kluczevia Stargard have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Kotwica Kórnik
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Victoria Września(away)0-1III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026Bałtyk Koszalin(home)0-1III Liga - Group 2
Aug 15, 2026Kalisz(home)2-2III Liga - Group 2
Aug 8, 2026Flota Świnoujście(away)0-2III Liga - Group 2
Aug 1, 2026Luzino(home)2-6III Liga - Group 2
Kluczevia Stargard
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Grom Nowy Staw(away)4-3III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026Gedania Gdansk(home)2-2III Liga - Group 2
Aug 15, 2026Lipno Stęszew(away)4-1III Liga - Group 2
Aug 8, 2026Stargard Szczeciński(home)2-1III Liga - Group 2
Aug 1, 2026Chemik Bydgoszcz(away)3-3III Liga - Group 2

How many goals should we expect?

Kotwica Kórnik score 1.1 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Kluczevia Stargard score 2.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Kotwica Kórnik1.12.119/159/15
Kluczevia Stargard2.11.7212/1514/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Kotwica Kórnik sit 18th in III Liga - Group 2 (1 points from 5 matches) and Kluczevia Stargard sit 2nd (11 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Kluczevia Stargard5320151011
18Kotwica Kórnik50144121

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Kotwica Kórnik vs Kluczevia Stargard?
The Footlab model makes Kluczevia Stargard the favourite at 58%, against 21% for a draw and 21% for Kotwica Kórnik.
Where and when is Kotwica Kórnik vs Kluczevia Stargard played?
Kotwica Kórnik vs Kluczevia Stargard is played on May 15, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC), in the III Liga - Group 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Kotwica Kórnik and Kluczevia Stargard

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