Match

Kagoshima United vs Kochi United: prediction and stats

J3 LeagueRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 21, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Shiranami Stadium, Kagoshima

Kagoshima UnitedKochi United

The Footlab model makes Kagoshima United the favourite at 67%, against 22% for a draw and 11% for Kochi United. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Kagoshima United vs Kochi United?

Kagoshima United starts as the favourite with a 178-point Elo edge (1,814 vs 1,636).

Kagoshima United win67 %
Draw22 %
Kochi United win11 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kagoshima United have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Kochi United have 4, 3 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Kagoshima United
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026FC Gifu(home)0-0J3 League
Aug 19, 2026Renofa Yamaguchi(home)2-1Emperor Cup
Aug 16, 2026Nara Club(away)3-1J3 League
Aug 8, 2026Thespakusatsu Gunma(home)1-0J3 League
Jun 7, 2026Blaublitz Akita(away)2-0J2/J3 League
Kochi United
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Kamatamare Sanuki(home)2-1J3 League
Aug 19, 2026Verspah Oita(away)0-3Emperor Cup
Aug 15, 2026FC Gifu(away)0-7J3 League
Aug 8, 2026Matsumoto Yamaga(home)0-0J3 League
Jun 6, 2026Omiya Ardija(away)1-2J2/J3 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Kagoshima United win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Kochi United win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Sep 6, 2025Kagoshima United 4-1 Kochi UnitedJ3 League
Mar 15, 2025Kochi United 2-2 Kagoshima UnitedJ3 League

Last archived meeting: Kagoshima United vs Kochi United on Sep 6, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Kagoshima United score 1.5 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Kochi United score 0.8 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Kagoshima United1.50.848/156/15
Kochi United0.81.745/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Kagoshima United sit 4th in J3 League (7 points from 3 matches) and Kochi United sit 11th (4 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Kagoshima United3210417
11Kochi United3111284

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Kagoshima United vs Kochi United?
The Footlab model makes Kagoshima United the favourite at 67%, against 22% for a draw and 11% for Kochi United.
Where and when is Kagoshima United vs Kochi United played?
Kagoshima United vs Kochi United is played on October 21, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Shiranami Stadium, in the J3 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Kagoshima United and Kochi United

Ready to know everything about football?