Tochigi SC vs Ehime FC: prediction and stats
J3 LeagueRegular Season - 14Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Kanseki Stadium, Utsunomiya
The Footlab model makes Tochigi SC the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Ehime FC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tochigi SC vs Ehime FC?
A very open match: only 18 Elo points separate Tochigi SC (1,729) and Ehime FC (1,711).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tochigi SC have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Ehime FC have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kitakyushu(home) | 2-2 | J3 League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Urayasu(home) | 2-0 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Roasso Kumamoto(away) | 0-0 | J3 League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Kanazawa(home) | 3-2 | J3 League |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Kitakyushu(home) | 2-1 | J2/J3 League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Matsumoto Yamaga(away) | 2-2 | J3 League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Pacific University(home) | 2-1 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Gainare Tottori(home) | 4-0 | J3 League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Nara Club(home) | 4-1 | J3 League |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Fujieda MYFC(away) | 0-1 | J2/J3 League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Tochigi SC win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 Ehime FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 6, 2024 | Tochigi SC 1-1 Ehime FC | J2 League |
| May 25, 2024 | Ehime FC 0-0 Tochigi SC | J2 League |
| Aug 29, 2021 | Ehime FC 0-1 Tochigi SC | J2 League |
| Mar 28, 2021 | Tochigi SC 2-1 Ehime FC | J2 League |
| Oct 25, 2020 | Ehime FC 0-1 Tochigi SC | J2 League |
| Aug 16, 2020 | Tochigi SC 0-0 Ehime FC | J2 League |
Last archived meeting: Tochigi SC vs Ehime FC on Oct 6, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Tochigi SC score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Ehime FC score 1.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tochigi SC | 1.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Ehime FC | 1.9 | 0.9 | 6 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tochigi SC sit 8th in J3 League (5 points from 3 matches) and Ehime FC sit 2nd (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Ehime FC | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 3 | 7 |
| 8 | Tochigi SC | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tochigi SC vs Ehime FC?
- The Footlab model makes Tochigi SC the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Ehime FC.
- Where and when is Tochigi SC vs Ehime FC played?
- Tochigi SC vs Ehime FC is played on October 31, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Kanseki Stadium, in the J3 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 31, 2026FC GifuvsOsaka
- Oct 31, 2026KanazawavsThespakusatsu Gunma
- Oct 31, 2026Renofa YamaguchivsKitakyushu
- Oct 31, 2026Kamatamare SanukivsNara Club
- Oct 31, 2026FC RyukyuvsGainare Tottori
- Oct 31, 2026Kagoshima UnitedvsRoasso Kumamoto
- Oct 31, 2026Fukushima UnitedvsMatsumoto Yamaga
- Oct 31, 2026Parceiro NaganovsBiwako Shiga