Match

Renofa Yamaguchi vs Kitakyushu: prediction and stats

J3 LeagueRegular Season - 14Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Ishin Me-Life Stadium, Yamaguchi

Renofa YamaguchiKitakyushu

The Footlab AI model makes Renofa Yamaguchi the favourite at 62%, against 23% for a draw and 15% for Kitakyushu. The most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,456 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Renofa Yamaguchi vs Kitakyushu?

Renofa Yamaguchi starts as the favourite with a 155-point Elo edge (1,812 vs 1,658).

62%23%15%
Renofa Yamaguchi winDrawKitakyushu win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Renofa Yamaguchi vs Kitakyushu

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Renofa Yamaguchi

4-3-3
  1. 13Sota Watanabe
  2. 19S. Yamamoto
  3. 11K. Fujioka
  1. 4K. Nakashima
  2. 40H. Naruoka
  3. 17K. Tanabe
  1. 33S. Kikuchi
  2. 5K. Yoshioka
  3. 2R. Ozawa
  4. 15T. Itakura
  1. 35K. Uchiyama

Kitakyushu

4-3-3
  1. 37K. Yoshida
  2. 11Koh Seung-Jin
  3. 10R. Nagai
  1. 66D. Takahashi
  2. 18S. Hiramatsu
  3. 51Yutaro Sakashita
  1. 3R. Kamihashi
  2. 28K. Yokokubo
  3. 30K. Fukumori
  4. 20S. Yasumitsu
  1. 31K. Otani

Computed on October 16, 2026 at 06:53 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Renofa Yamaguchi have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Kitakyushu have 3, 4 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Renofa Yamaguchi
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Tochigi SC(away)1-0J3 League
Oct 3, 2026FC Gifu(away)2-0J3 League
Sep 26, 2026Sagamihara(home)2-2J3 League
Sep 20, 2026Kanazawa(away)2-1J3 League
Sep 12, 2026Thespakusatsu Gunma(home)2-0J3 League
Kitakyushu
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Nara Club(away)0-2J3 League
Oct 3, 2026Kochi United(home)2-0J3 League
Sep 29, 2026Nagoya Grampus(home)1-3J-League Cup
Sep 26, 2026Kagoshima United(home)1-1J3 League
Sep 20, 2026Sagamihara(away)2-1J3 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Renofa Yamaguchi wins, 2 draws, 2 Kitakyushu wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 25, 2026Kitakyushu 2-2 Renofa YamaguchiJ2/J3 League
Mar 22, 2026Renofa Yamaguchi 0-1 KitakyushuJ2/J3 League
Jun 3, 2024Renofa Yamaguchi 2-1 KitakyushuFriendlies Clubs
Feb 25, 2024Renofa Yamaguchi 3-1 KitakyushuFriendlies Clubs
Nov 13, 2021Renofa Yamaguchi 0-1 KitakyushuJ2 League
Apr 21, 2021Kitakyushu 0-0 Renofa YamaguchiJ2 League

Last archived meeting: Kitakyushu vs Renofa Yamaguchi on Apr 25, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Renofa Yamaguchi score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Kitakyushu score 1.2 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Renofa Yamaguchi1.31.167/157/15
Kitakyushu1.21.9310/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Renofa Yamaguchi sit 3rd in J3 League (20 points from 10 matches) and Kitakyushu sit 16th (10 points from 10 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Renofa Yamaguchi1062214720
16Kitakyushu10244121810

A question about Renofa Yamaguchi vs Kitakyushu?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Renofa Yamaguchi vs Kitakyushu?
The Footlab AI model makes Renofa Yamaguchi the favourite at 62%, against 23% for a draw and 15% for Kitakyushu.
Where and when is Renofa Yamaguchi vs Kitakyushu played?
Renofa Yamaguchi vs Kitakyushu is played on October 31, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Ishin Me-Life Stadium, in the J3 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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