FC Ryukyu vs Gainare Tottori: prediction and stats
J3 LeagueRegular Season - 14Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Tapic Kenso Hiyagon Stadium, Okinawa
The Footlab model makes Gainare Tottori the favourite at 37%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for FC Ryukyu. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Ryukyu vs Gainare Tottori?
A very open match: only 93 Elo points separate FC Ryukyu (1,599) and Gainare Tottori (1,692).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Ryukyu have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Gainare Tottori have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Osaka(away) | 2-2 | J3 League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Renofa Yamaguchi(away) | 0-1 | J3 League |
| Jul 17, 2026 | Urawa(home) | 5-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Fukushima United(away) | 1-1 | J2/J3 League |
| May 31, 2026 | Imabari(away) | 2-1 | J2/J3 League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Fukushima United(home) | 2-1 | J3 League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Roasso Kumamoto(home) | 2-2 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Ehime FC(away) | 0-4 | J3 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Osaka(home) | 1-1 | J3 League |
| Jun 6, 2026 | FC Gifu(away) | 1-1 | J2/J3 League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 FC Ryukyu win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Gainare Tottori win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | FC Ryukyu 1-3 Gainare Tottori | J2/J3 League |
| Mar 8, 2026 | Gainare Tottori 0-0 FC Ryukyu | J2/J3 League |
| Jul 12, 2025 | FC Ryukyu 1-0 Gainare Tottori | J3 League |
| May 3, 2025 | Gainare Tottori 2-0 FC Ryukyu | J3 League |
| Aug 31, 2024 | FC Ryukyu 3-1 Gainare Tottori | J3 League |
| Apr 28, 2024 | Gainare Tottori 2-1 FC Ryukyu | J3 League |
Last archived meeting: FC Ryukyu vs Gainare Tottori on May 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FC Ryukyu score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Gainare Tottori score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Ryukyu | 1.1 | 1.5 | 2 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Gainare Tottori | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Ryukyu sit 18th in J3 League (1 points from 2 matches) and Gainare Tottori sit 10th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Gainare Tottori | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 4 |
| 18 | FC Ryukyu | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Ryukyu vs Gainare Tottori?
- The Footlab model makes Gainare Tottori the favourite at 37%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for FC Ryukyu.
- Where and when is FC Ryukyu vs Gainare Tottori played?
- FC Ryukyu vs Gainare Tottori is played on October 31, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Tapic Kenso Hiyagon Stadium, in the J3 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 31, 2026FC GifuvsOsaka
- Oct 31, 2026KanazawavsThespakusatsu Gunma
- Oct 31, 2026Renofa YamaguchivsKitakyushu
- Oct 31, 2026Tochigi SCvsEhime FC
- Oct 31, 2026Kamatamare SanukivsNara Club
- Oct 31, 2026Kagoshima UnitedvsRoasso Kumamoto
- Oct 31, 2026Fukushima UnitedvsMatsumoto Yamaga
- Oct 31, 2026Parceiro NaganovsBiwako Shiga