Thespakusatsu Gunma vs Kochi United: prediction and stats
J3 LeagueRegular Season - 7Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Shoda Shoyu Stadium, Maebashi
The Footlab model makes Thespakusatsu Gunma the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Kochi United. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Thespakusatsu Gunma vs Kochi United?
A very open match: only 27 Elo points separate Thespakusatsu Gunma (1,663) and Kochi United (1,636).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Thespakusatsu Gunma have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; Kochi United have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Tokyo Verdy(away) | 1-4 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Biwako Shiga(home) | 2-3 | J3 League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Tohoku Gakuin University(away) | 3-1 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Sagamihara(home) | 1-4 | J3 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kagoshima United(away) | 0-1 | J3 League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Kamatamare Sanuki(home) | 2-1 | J3 League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Verspah Oita(away) | 0-3 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FC Gifu(away) | 0-7 | J3 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Matsumoto Yamaga(home) | 0-0 | J3 League |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Omiya Ardija(away) | 1-2 | J2/J3 League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Thespakusatsu Gunma win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Kochi United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2025 | Kochi United 0-1 Thespakusatsu Gunma | J3 League |
| May 17, 2025 | Thespakusatsu Gunma 2-2 Kochi United | J3 League |
Last archived meeting: Kochi United vs Thespakusatsu Gunma on Nov 29, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Thespakusatsu Gunma score 1.7 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Kochi United score 0.8 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thespakusatsu Gunma | 1.7 | 1.9 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Kochi United | 0.8 | 1.7 | 4 | 5/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Thespakusatsu Gunma sit 20th in J3 League (0 points from 3 matches) and Kochi United sit 11th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Kochi United | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 4 |
| 20 | Thespakusatsu Gunma | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Thespakusatsu Gunma vs Kochi United?
- The Footlab model makes Thespakusatsu Gunma the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Kochi United.
- Where and when is Thespakusatsu Gunma vs Kochi United played?
- Thespakusatsu Gunma vs Kochi United is played on September 19, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Shoda Shoyu Stadium, in the J3 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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