Match

Thespakusatsu Gunma vs Kochi United: prediction and stats

J3 LeagueRegular Season - 7Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Shoda Shoyu Stadium, Maebashi

Thespakusatsu GunmaKochi United

The Footlab model makes Thespakusatsu Gunma the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Kochi United. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Thespakusatsu Gunma vs Kochi United?

A very open match: only 27 Elo points separate Thespakusatsu Gunma (1,663) and Kochi United (1,636).

Thespakusatsu Gunma win54 %
Draw24 %
Kochi United win23 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Thespakusatsu Gunma have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; Kochi United have 4, 3 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Thespakusatsu Gunma
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 26, 2026Tokyo Verdy(away)1-4Emperor Cup
Aug 22, 2026Biwako Shiga(home)2-3J3 League
Aug 19, 2026Tohoku Gakuin University(away)3-1Emperor Cup
Aug 15, 2026Sagamihara(home)1-4J3 League
Aug 8, 2026Kagoshima United(away)0-1J3 League
Kochi United
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Kamatamare Sanuki(home)2-1J3 League
Aug 19, 2026Verspah Oita(away)0-3Emperor Cup
Aug 15, 2026FC Gifu(away)0-7J3 League
Aug 8, 2026Matsumoto Yamaga(home)0-0J3 League
Jun 6, 2026Omiya Ardija(away)1-2J2/J3 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Thespakusatsu Gunma win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Kochi United win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Nov 29, 2025Kochi United 0-1 Thespakusatsu GunmaJ3 League
May 17, 2025Thespakusatsu Gunma 2-2 Kochi UnitedJ3 League

Last archived meeting: Kochi United vs Thespakusatsu Gunma on Nov 29, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Thespakusatsu Gunma score 1.7 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Kochi United score 0.8 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Thespakusatsu Gunma1.71.9211/1511/15
Kochi United0.81.745/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Thespakusatsu Gunma sit 20th in J3 League (0 points from 3 matches) and Kochi United sit 11th (4 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
11Kochi United3111284
20Thespakusatsu Gunma3003380

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Thespakusatsu Gunma vs Kochi United?
The Footlab model makes Thespakusatsu Gunma the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Kochi United.
Where and when is Thespakusatsu Gunma vs Kochi United played?
Thespakusatsu Gunma vs Kochi United is played on September 19, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Shoda Shoyu Stadium, in the J3 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Thespakusatsu Gunma and Kochi United

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