Where and when is Korona Kielce II vs Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów played?

Korona Kielce II vs Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów is played on May 22, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Korona, in the III Liga - Group 4.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Korona Kielce II vs Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 4Group IV - 33Kick-off on May 22, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Korona, Kielce

Korona Kielce II

Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów

The Footlab model makes Korona Kielce II the favourite at 51%, against 23% for a draw and 26% for Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Korona Kielce II vs Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów?

Korona Kielce II starts as the favourite with a 141-point Elo edge (1,776 vs 1,635).

Korona Kielce II win51 %

Draw23 %

Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów win26 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Korona Kielce II have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów have 3, 4 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Korona Kielce II
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Czarni Połaniec(home)	3-4	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 19, 2026	Hetman Zamosc(home)	2-2	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 14, 2026	KSZO 1929(away)	2-3	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 8, 2026	Wisła Kraków II(home)	1-2	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 1, 2026	Naprzód(away)	4-5	III Liga - Group 4

Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	KSZO 1929(away)	0-1	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 19, 2026	Wisła Kraków II(home)	1-1	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 15, 2026	Naprzód(away)	1-2	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 8, 2026	Moravia Morawica(home)	0-2	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 1, 2026	Chełmianka Chełm(home)	0-1	III Liga - Group 4

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Korona Kielce II win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 9, 2026	Korona Kielce II 3-1 Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów	III Liga - Group 4
Oct 18, 2025	Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów 0-0 Korona Kielce II	III Liga - Group 4
May 25, 2025	Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów 2-2 Korona Kielce II	III Liga - Group 4
Nov 2, 2024	Korona Kielce II 2-1 Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów	III Liga - Group 4

Last archived meeting: Korona Kielce II vs Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów on May 9, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Korona Kielce II score 2.2 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Korona Kielce II	2.2	2.3	2	13/15	13/15
Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów	1.3	1.5	2	10/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Korona Kielce II sit 17th in III Liga - Group 4 (1 points from 5 matches) and Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów sit 18th (1 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
17	Korona Kielce II	5	0	1	4	12	16	1
18	Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów	5	0	1	4	2	7	1

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Korona Kielce II vs Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów?: The Footlab model makes Korona Kielce II the favourite at 51%, against 23% for a draw and 26% for Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów.
Where and when is Korona Kielce II vs Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów played?: Korona Kielce II vs Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów is played on May 22, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Korona, in the III Liga - Group 4.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.