Podlasie Biała Podlaska vs Naprzód: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 4Group IV - 33Kick-off on May 22, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion MOSiR, Biała Podlaska
The Footlab model makes Podlasie Biała Podlaska the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 21% for Naprzód. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Podlasie Biała Podlaska vs Naprzód?
Podlasie Biała Podlaska starts as the favourite with a 104-point Elo edge (1,795 vs 1,692).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Podlasie Biała Podlaska have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Naprzód have 5, 1 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Jarosław(away) | 0-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Busko-Zdroj(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Czarni Połaniec(away) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Hetman Zamosc(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | KSZO 1929(away) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Chełmianka Chełm(home) | 0-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Moravia Morawica(away) | 2-4 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Wiślanie Jaśkowice(away) | 0-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Korona Kielce II(home) | 5-4 | III Liga - Group 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Podlasie Biała Podlaska win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Naprzód win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2026 | Naprzód 4-4 Podlasie Biała Podlaska | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 15, 2025 | Podlasie Biała Podlaska 2-3 Naprzód | III Liga - Group 4 |
Last archived meeting: Naprzód vs Podlasie Biała Podlaska on Mar 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Podlasie Biała Podlaska score 1.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Naprzód score 1.5 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Podlasie Biała Podlaska | 1.9 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Naprzód | 1.5 | 1.8 | 2 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Podlasie Biała Podlaska sit 8th in III Liga - Group 4 (7 points from 5 matches) and Naprzód sit 12th (6 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Podlasie Biała Podlaska | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 7 |
| 12 | Naprzód | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 13 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Podlasie Biała Podlaska vs Naprzód?
- The Footlab model makes Podlasie Biała Podlaska the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 21% for Naprzód.
- Where and when is Podlasie Biała Podlaska vs Naprzód played?
- Podlasie Biała Podlaska vs Naprzód is played on May 22, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion MOSiR, in the III Liga - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 22, 2027Siarka TarnobrzegvsWisła Kraków II
- May 22, 2027Korona Kielce IIvsPogoń-Sokół Lubaczów
- May 22, 2027Wisłoka DębicavsHetman Zamosc
- May 22, 2027Wiślanie JaśkowicevsChełmianka Chełm
- May 22, 2027JarosławvsBusko-Zdroj
- May 22, 2027Star StarachowicevsMoravia Morawica
- May 22, 2027Sokół Kolb.vsCzarni Połaniec
- May 22, 2027KS Wieczysta Krakow IIvsKSZO 1929