Match

Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów vs Korona Kielce II: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 4Group IV - 16Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Lubaczów

Pogoń-Sokół LubaczówKorona Kielce II

The Footlab model makes Korona Kielce II the favourite at 41%, against 24% for a draw and 36% for Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów vs Korona Kielce II?

Korona Kielce II starts as the favourite with a 141-point Elo edge (1,775 vs 1,634).

Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów win36 %
Draw24 %
Korona Kielce II win41 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Korona Kielce II have 7, 2 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026KSZO 1929(away)0-1III Liga - Group 4
Aug 19, 2026Wisła Kraków II(home)1-1III Liga - Group 4
Aug 15, 2026Naprzód(away)1-2III Liga - Group 4
Aug 8, 2026Moravia Morawica(home)0-2III Liga - Group 4
Aug 1, 2026Chełmianka Chełm(home)0-1III Liga - Group 4
Korona Kielce II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Czarni Połaniec(home)3-4III Liga - Group 4
Aug 19, 2026Hetman Zamosc(home)2-2III Liga - Group 4
Aug 14, 2026KSZO 1929(away)2-3III Liga - Group 4
Aug 8, 2026Wisła Kraków II(home)1-2III Liga - Group 4
Aug 1, 2026Naprzód(away)4-5III Liga - Group 4

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Korona Kielce II win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 9, 2026Korona Kielce II 3-1 Pogoń-Sokół LubaczówIII Liga - Group 4
Oct 18, 2025Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów 0-0 Korona Kielce IIIII Liga - Group 4
May 25, 2025Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów 2-2 Korona Kielce IIIII Liga - Group 4
Nov 2, 2024Korona Kielce II 2-1 Pogoń-Sokół LubaczówIII Liga - Group 4

Last archived meeting: Korona Kielce II vs Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów on May 9, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Korona Kielce II score 2.2 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów1.31.5210/159/15
Korona Kielce II2.22.3213/1513/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów sit 18th in III Liga - Group 4 (1 points from 5 matches) and Korona Kielce II sit 17th (1 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
17Korona Kielce II501412161
18Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów5014271

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów vs Korona Kielce II?
The Footlab model makes Korona Kielce II the favourite at 41%, against 24% for a draw and 36% for Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów.
Where and when is Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów vs Korona Kielce II played?
Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów vs Korona Kielce II is played on November 7, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 4.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów and Korona Kielce II

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