Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów vs Korona Kielce II: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 4Group IV - 16Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Lubaczów
The Footlab model makes Korona Kielce II the favourite at 41%, against 24% for a draw and 36% for Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów vs Korona Kielce II?
Korona Kielce II starts as the favourite with a 141-point Elo edge (1,775 vs 1,634).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Korona Kielce II have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | KSZO 1929(away) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Wisła Kraków II(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Naprzód(away) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Moravia Morawica(home) | 0-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Chełmianka Chełm(home) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Czarni Połaniec(home) | 3-4 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Hetman Zamosc(home) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | KSZO 1929(away) | 2-3 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Wisła Kraków II(home) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Naprzód(away) | 4-5 | III Liga - Group 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Korona Kielce II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Korona Kielce II 3-1 Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów 0-0 Korona Kielce II | III Liga - Group 4 |
| May 25, 2025 | Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów 2-2 Korona Kielce II | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Nov 2, 2024 | Korona Kielce II 2-1 Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów | III Liga - Group 4 |
Last archived meeting: Korona Kielce II vs Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów on May 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Korona Kielce II score 2.2 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów | 1.3 | 1.5 | 2 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Korona Kielce II | 2.2 | 2.3 | 2 | 13/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów sit 18th in III Liga - Group 4 (1 points from 5 matches) and Korona Kielce II sit 17th (1 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Korona Kielce II | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 16 | 1 |
| 18 | Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów vs Korona Kielce II?
- The Footlab model makes Korona Kielce II the favourite at 41%, against 24% for a draw and 36% for Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów.
- Where and when is Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów vs Korona Kielce II played?
- Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów vs Korona Kielce II is played on November 7, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 7, 2026Chełmianka ChełmvsWiślanie Jaśkowice
- Nov 7, 2026KSZO 1929vsKS Wieczysta Krakow II
- Nov 7, 2026Hetman ZamoscvsWisłoka Dębica
- Nov 7, 2026Czarni PołaniecvsSokół Kolb.
- Nov 7, 2026Wisła Kraków IIvsSiarka Tarnobrzeg
- Nov 7, 2026NaprzódvsPodlasie Biała Podlaska
- Nov 7, 2026Moravia MorawicavsStar Starachowice
- Nov 7, 2026Busko-ZdrojvsJarosław