Wiślanie Jaśkowice vs Chełmianka Chełm: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 4Group IV - 33Kick-off on May 22, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Milenium, Skawina
The Footlab model makes Chełmianka Chełm the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Wiślanie Jaśkowice. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Wiślanie Jaśkowice vs Chełmianka Chełm?
Chełmianka Chełm starts as the favourite with a 153-point Elo edge (1,929 vs 1,776).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Wiślanie Jaśkowice have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Chełmianka Chełm have 12, 2 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hetman Zamosc(away) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | KSZO 1929(home) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Wisła Kraków II(away) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Naprzód(home) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Moravia Morawica(away) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Naprzód(away) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Wisłoka Dębica(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Moravia Morawica(away) | 3-0 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sokół Kolb.(home) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów(away) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Wiślanie Jaśkowice win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 Chełmianka Chełm win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 1, 2026 | Wiślanie Jaśkowice 0-0 Chełmianka Chełm | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Oct 11, 2025 | Chełmianka Chełm 1-2 Wiślanie Jaśkowice | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Jun 7, 2025 | Wiślanie Jaśkowice 3-2 Chełmianka Chełm | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Nov 16, 2024 | Chełmianka Chełm 1-1 Wiślanie Jaśkowice | III Liga - Group 4 |
| May 4, 2024 | Wiślanie Jaśkowice 0-0 Chełmianka Chełm | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Oct 7, 2023 | Chełmianka Chełm 1-6 Wiślanie Jaśkowice | III Liga - Group 4 |
Last archived meeting: Wiślanie Jaśkowice vs Chełmianka Chełm on May 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Wiślanie Jaśkowice score 1.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Chełmianka Chełm score 2.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wiślanie Jaśkowice | 1.1 | 1.2 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Chełmianka Chełm | 2.1 | 0.9 | 8 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Wiślanie Jaśkowice sit 2nd in III Liga - Group 4 (13 points from 5 matches) and Chełmianka Chełm sit 1st (15 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chełmianka Chełm | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 15 |
| 2 | Wiślanie Jaśkowice | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 13 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Wiślanie Jaśkowice vs Chełmianka Chełm?
- The Footlab model makes Chełmianka Chełm the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Wiślanie Jaśkowice.
- Where and when is Wiślanie Jaśkowice vs Chełmianka Chełm played?
- Wiślanie Jaśkowice vs Chełmianka Chełm is played on May 22, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Milenium, in the III Liga - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 22, 2027Siarka TarnobrzegvsWisła Kraków II
- May 22, 2027Korona Kielce IIvsPogoń-Sokół Lubaczów
- May 22, 2027Podlasie Biała PodlaskavsNaprzód
- May 22, 2027Wisłoka DębicavsHetman Zamosc
- May 22, 2027JarosławvsBusko-Zdroj
- May 22, 2027Star StarachowicevsMoravia Morawica
- May 22, 2027Sokół Kolb.vsCzarni Połaniec
- May 22, 2027KS Wieczysta Krakow IIvsKSZO 1929