Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Wisła Kraków II: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 4Group IV - 33Kick-off on May 22, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion OSiR Wisła, Tarnobrzeg
The Footlab model makes Wisła Kraków II the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Siarka Tarnobrzeg. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Wisła Kraków II?
A very open match: only 85 Elo points separate Siarka Tarnobrzeg (1,718) and Wisła Kraków II (1,803).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Siarka Tarnobrzeg have 1 wins, 5 draws and 9 defeats; Wisła Kraków II have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Sokół Kolb.(away) | 0-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Jarosław(home) | 1-3 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Busko-Zdroj(away) | 4-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Czarni Połaniec(home) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Hetman Zamosc(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Moravia Morawica(home) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Wiślanie Jaśkowice(home) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Korona Kielce II(away) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Star Starachowice(home) | 4-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Siarka Tarnobrzeg win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Wisła Kraków II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg 1-2 Wisła Kraków II | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Oct 31, 2025 | Wisła Kraków II 2-2 Siarka Tarnobrzeg | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Jun 7, 2025 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg 2-0 Wisła Kraków II | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Nov 17, 2024 | Wisła Kraków II 1-1 Siarka Tarnobrzeg | III Liga - Group 4 |
Last archived meeting: Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Wisła Kraków II on May 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Siarka Tarnobrzeg score 1.4 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Wisła Kraków II score 1.9 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Siarka Tarnobrzeg | 1.4 | 2.0 | 1 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
| Wisła Kraków II | 1.9 | 1.4 | 3 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Siarka Tarnobrzeg sit 16th in III Liga - Group 4 (4 points from 5 matches) and Wisła Kraków II sit 4th (10 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Wisła Kraków II | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 10 |
| 16 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Wisła Kraków II?
- The Footlab model makes Wisła Kraków II the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Siarka Tarnobrzeg.
- Where and when is Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Wisła Kraków II played?
- Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Wisła Kraków II is played on May 22, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion OSiR Wisła, in the III Liga - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 22, 2027Korona Kielce IIvsPogoń-Sokół Lubaczów
- May 22, 2027Podlasie Biała PodlaskavsNaprzód
- May 22, 2027Wisłoka DębicavsHetman Zamosc
- May 22, 2027Wiślanie JaśkowicevsChełmianka Chełm
- May 22, 2027JarosławvsBusko-Zdroj
- May 22, 2027Star StarachowicevsMoravia Morawica
- May 22, 2027Sokół Kolb.vsCzarni Połaniec
- May 22, 2027KS Wieczysta Krakow IIvsKSZO 1929