Where and when is Star Starachowice vs Moravia Morawica played?

Star Starachowice vs Moravia Morawica is played on May 22, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 4.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Star Starachowice vs Moravia Morawica: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 4Group IV - 33Kick-off on May 22, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Starachowice

Star Starachowice

Moravia Morawica

The Footlab model makes Star Starachowice the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Moravia Morawica. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Star Starachowice vs Moravia Morawica?

A very open match: only 53 Elo points separate Star Starachowice (1,765) and Moravia Morawica (1,712).

Star Starachowice win51 %

Draw25 %

Moravia Morawica win25 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Star Starachowice have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Moravia Morawica have 2, 1 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Star Starachowice
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Busko-Zdroj(home)	1-1	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 19, 2026	Czarni Połaniec(home)	2-0	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 15, 2026	Hetman Zamosc(away)	0-3	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 9, 2026	KSZO 1929(home)	0-0	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 1, 2026	Wisła Kraków II(away)	2-4	III Liga - Group 4

Moravia Morawica
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Wisła Kraków II(away)	0-1	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 19, 2026	Naprzód(home)	4-2	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 15, 2026	Chełmianka Chełm(home)	0-3	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 8, 2026	Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów(away)	2-0	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 2, 2026	Wiślanie Jaśkowice(home)	0-2	III Liga - Group 4

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Star Starachowice win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Moravia Morawica win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jul 17, 2026	Star Starachowice 2-2 Moravia Morawica	Friendlies Clubs
Jan 30, 2026	Star Starachowice 7-0 Moravia Morawica	Friendlies Clubs

Last archived meeting: Star Starachowice vs Moravia Morawica on Jul 17, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Star Starachowice score 1.3 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Moravia Morawica score 1.1 and concede 2.7. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Star Starachowice	1.3	1.9	2	11/15	10/15
Moravia Morawica	1.1	2.7	1	3/9	6/9

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Star Starachowice sit 15th in III Liga - Group 4 (5 points from 5 matches) and Moravia Morawica sit 11th (6 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
11	Moravia Morawica	5	2	0	3	6	8	6
15	Star Starachowice	5	1	2	2	5	8	5

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Star Starachowice vs Moravia Morawica?: The Footlab model makes Star Starachowice the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Moravia Morawica.
Where and when is Star Starachowice vs Moravia Morawica played?: Star Starachowice vs Moravia Morawica is played on May 22, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 4.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.