Kosovo U21 vs Finland U21: prediction and stats
UEFA U21 Championship - QualificationGroup Stage - 24Kick-off on October 6, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Finland U21 the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Kosovo U21. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kosovo U21 vs Finland U21?
A very open match: only 3 Elo points separate Kosovo U21 (1,608) and Finland U21 (1,611).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kosovo U21 have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Finland U21 have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Albania U21(away) | 1-3 | Mediterranean Games |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Algeria U21(away) | 1-2 | Mediterranean Games |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Luxembourg U21(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies |
| Jun 3, 2026 | Turkey U21(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Spain U21(away) | 0-2 | UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 8, 2026 | Norway U21(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies |
| Jun 4, 2026 | Sweden U21(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Cyprus U21(home) | 3-0 | UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification |
| Mar 26, 2026 | San Marino U21(away) | 8-0 | UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification |
| Nov 18, 2025 | Kosovo U21(home) | 0-0 | UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Kosovo U21 win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Finland U21 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2025 | Finland U21 0-0 Kosovo U21 | UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification |
Last archived meeting: Finland U21 vs Kosovo U21 on Nov 18, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Kosovo U21 score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Finland U21 score 2.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kosovo U21 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 7 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
| Finland U21 | 2.9 | 0.9 | 7 | 7/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kosovo U21 sit 4th in UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification (8 points from 7 matches) and Finland U21 sit 2nd (16 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Finland U21 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 2 | 16 |
| 4 | Kosovo U21 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 6 | 8 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kosovo U21 vs Finland U21?
- The Footlab model makes Finland U21 the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Kosovo U21.
- Where and when is Kosovo U21 vs Finland U21 played?
- Kosovo U21 vs Finland U21 is played on October 6, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC), in the UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.