Where and when is Grom Nowy Staw vs Noteć Czarnków played?

Grom Nowy Staw vs Noteć Czarnków is played on November 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski OSiR Nowy Staw, in the III Liga - Group 2.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Grom Nowy Staw vs Noteć Czarnków: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 2Group II - 19Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski OSiR Nowy Staw, Nowy Staw

Grom Nowy Staw

Noteć Czarnków

The Footlab model makes Noteć Czarnków the favourite at 42%, against 23% for a draw and 35% for Grom Nowy Staw. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Grom Nowy Staw vs Noteć Czarnków?

A very open match: only 96 Elo points separate Grom Nowy Staw (1,695) and Noteć Czarnków (1,791).

Grom Nowy Staw win35 %

Draw23 %

Noteć Czarnków win42 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 8 matches in all competitions, Grom Nowy Staw have 2 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; Noteć Czarnków have 8, 1 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Grom Nowy Staw
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Kluczevia Stargard(home)	3-4	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026	Wda Świecie(away)	2-4	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 15, 2026	Elana Toruń(home)	1-2	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 8, 2026	Noteć Czarnków(away)	2-0	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 1, 2026	Unia Swarzędz(home)	2-3	III Liga - Group 2

Noteć Czarnków
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Elana Toruń(home)	3-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026	Kalisz(away)	1-0	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 14, 2026	Unia Swarzędz(away)	3-0	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 8, 2026	Grom Nowy Staw(home)	0-2	III Liga - Group 2
Jul 31, 2026	Gedania Gdansk(away)	3-5	III Liga - Group 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Grom Nowy Staw win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Noteć Czarnków win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Aug 8, 2026	Noteć Czarnków 0-2 Grom Nowy Staw	III Liga - Group 2

Last archived meeting: Noteć Czarnków vs Grom Nowy Staw on Aug 8, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Grom Nowy Staw score 2.0 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 8; Noteć Czarnków score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Grom Nowy Staw	2.0	2.0	2	5/8	5/8
Noteć Czarnków	1.7	1.3	4	7/15	9/15

Over the last 8 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Grom Nowy Staw sit 14th in III Liga - Group 2 (3 points from 5 matches) and Noteć Czarnków sit 7th (9 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
7	Noteć Czarnków	5	3	0	2	10	8	9
14	Grom Nowy Staw	5	1	0	4	10	13	3

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Grom Nowy Staw vs Noteć Czarnków?: The Footlab model makes Noteć Czarnków the favourite at 42%, against 23% for a draw and 35% for Grom Nowy Staw.
Where and when is Grom Nowy Staw vs Noteć Czarnków played?: Grom Nowy Staw vs Noteć Czarnków is played on November 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski OSiR Nowy Staw, in the III Liga - Group 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.