Lipno Stęszew vs Wda Świecie: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 2Group II - 19Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Boisko Lipno Stęszew, Stęszew
The Footlab model makes Lipno Stęszew the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Wda Świecie. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lipno Stęszew vs Wda Świecie?
A very open match: only 50 Elo points separate Lipno Stęszew (1,708) and Wda Świecie (1,759).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lipno Stęszew have 7 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats; Wda Świecie have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Polonia Środa(home) | 2-3 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Lech Poznań II(away) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kluczevia Stargard(home) | 1-4 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Wda Świecie(away) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Elana Toruń(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Unia Swarzędz(away) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Grom Nowy Staw(home) | 4-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Gedania Gdansk(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lipno Stęszew(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Stargard Szczeciński(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Lipno Stęszew win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Wda Świecie win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Wda Świecie 2-1 Lipno Stęszew | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Feb 28, 2026 | Wda Świecie 3-0 Lipno Stęszew | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Lipno Stęszew 2-2 Wda Świecie | III Liga - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Wda Świecie vs Lipno Stęszew on Aug 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Lipno Stęszew score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Wda Świecie score 1.7 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lipno Stęszew | 1.3 | 1.7 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Wda Świecie | 1.7 | 2.1 | 3 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lipno Stęszew sit 17th in III Liga - Group 2 (1 points from 5 matches) and Wda Świecie sit 3rd (11 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Wda Świecie | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 11 |
| 17 | Lipno Stęszew | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lipno Stęszew vs Wda Świecie?
- The Footlab model makes Lipno Stęszew the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Wda Świecie.
- Where and when is Lipno Stęszew vs Wda Świecie played?
- Lipno Stęszew vs Wda Świecie is played on November 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Boisko Lipno Stęszew, in the III Liga - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 28, 2026Chemik BydgoszczvsLech Poznań II
- Nov 28, 2026Stargard SzczecińskivsKluczevia Stargard
- Nov 28, 2026Bałtyk KoszalinvsLuzino
- Nov 28, 2026Unia SwarzędzvsKalisz
- Nov 28, 2026Gedania GdanskvsElana Toruń
- Nov 28, 2026Victoria WrześniavsPolonia Środa
- Nov 28, 2026Kotwica KórnikvsFlota Świnoujście
- Nov 28, 2026Grom Nowy StawvsNoteć Czarnków