Kristiansund BK vs Aalesund: prediction and stats
EliteserienRegular Season - 24Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Nordmøre stadion, Kristiansund
The Footlab model makes Aalesund the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Kristiansund BK. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kristiansund BK vs Aalesund?
A very open match: only 81 Elo points separate Kristiansund BK (1,850) and Aalesund (1,932).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kristiansund BK have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Aalesund have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Trønder-Lyn(away) | 5-0 | NM Cupen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Fredrikstad(away) | 0-1 | Eliteserien |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Molde(home) | 2-1 | Eliteserien |
| Aug 2, 2026 | KFUM Oslo(away) | 1-2 | Eliteserien |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Start(home) | 1-2 | Eliteserien |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Langevag(away) | 13-0 | NM Cupen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Valerenga(home) | 5-5 | Eliteserien |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Ham-Kam(away) | 1-1 | Eliteserien |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Tromso(home) | 2-6 | Eliteserien |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Viking(home) | 1-1 | Eliteserien |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Kristiansund BK win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Aalesund win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 27, 2026 | Kristiansund BK 0-3 Aalesund | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Aalesund 1-1 Kristiansund BK | Eliteserien |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Aalesund 1-0 Kristiansund BK | Friendlies Clubs |
| Mar 23, 2025 | Kristiansund BK 2-1 Aalesund | Friendlies Clubs |
| Mar 24, 2024 | Kristiansund BK 1-1 Aalesund | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 16, 2024 | Aalesund 1-3 Kristiansund BK | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Kristiansund BK vs Aalesund on Jun 27, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Kristiansund BK score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Aalesund score 2.5 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kristiansund BK | 1.1 | 1.5 | 2 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Aalesund | 2.5 | 2.1 | 2 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kristiansund BK sit 14th in Eliteserien (15 points from 17 matches) and Aalesund sit 15th (15 points from 17 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Kristiansund BK | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 27 | 15 |
| 15 | Aalesund | 17 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 27 | 41 | 15 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kristiansund BK vs Aalesund?
- The Footlab model makes Aalesund the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Kristiansund BK.
- Where and when is Kristiansund BK vs Aalesund played?
- Kristiansund BK vs Aalesund is played on October 18, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Nordmøre stadion, in the Eliteserien.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.