Aalesund vs Rosenborg: prediction and stats
EliteserienRegular Season - 27Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Color Line Stadion, Ålesund
The Footlab AI model makes Rosenborg the favourite at 60%, against 19% for a draw and 21% for Aalesund. The most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Aalesund vs Rosenborg?
Rosenborg starts as the favourite with a 101-point Elo edge (2,027 vs 1,926).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Aalesund vs Rosenborg
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Aalesund
5-3-2- 27H. M. Reed
- 8I. Skotheim
- 18E. Hagen
- 21M. Christensen
- 15E. Osenbroch
- 14U. Charles
- 7K. Nessø
- 28D. Mbacke
- 3Ó. Guðmundsson
- 22E. Engqvist
- 1Luca Podlech
Rosenborg
4-4-2- 35E. Ceïde
- 18Amin Chiakha
- 10O. Selnæs
- 17M. Bomholt
- 11N. Sahsah
- 7S. Nordli
- 19A. Pereira
- 21T. Nemčík
- 4M. Ceïde
- 22J. Svensson
- 1L. Wahlstedt
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 11:33 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aalesund have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Rosenborg have 11, 1 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Sarpsborg 08 FF(home) | 2-4 | Eliteserien |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Molde(away) | 2-1 | Eliteserien |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Førde(away) | 4-3 | NM Cupen |
| Sep 13, 2026 | KFUM Oslo(away) | 1-2 | Eliteserien |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Start(home) | 2-0 | Eliteserien |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Sandefjord(home) | 1-1 | Eliteserien |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Ostersunds FK(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Kristiansund BK(away) | 3-1 | Eliteserien |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Fløya(away) | 4-1 | NM Cupen |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Tromso(home) | 5-3 | Eliteserien |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Aalesund wins, 1 draw, 3 Rosenborg wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Rosenborg 2-3 Aalesund | Eliteserien |
| Feb 9, 2024 | Rosenborg 2-1 Aalesund | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 27, 2023 | Rosenborg 4-0 Aalesund | Eliteserien |
| Jul 2, 2023 | Aalesund 1-0 Rosenborg | Eliteserien |
| Mar 3, 2023 | Rosenborg 1-1 Aalesund | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 21, 2022 | Rosenborg 2-1 Aalesund | Eliteserien |
Last archived meeting: Rosenborg vs Aalesund on May 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Aalesund score 2.8 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Rosenborg score 3.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 76% probability of over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aalesund | 2.8 | 2.3 | 3 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
| Rosenborg | 3.1 | 1.3 | 7 | 7/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Aalesund sit 14th in Eliteserien (21 points from 22 matches) and Rosenborg sit 5th (34 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Rosenborg | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 40 | 31 | 34 |
| 14 | Aalesund | 22 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 35 | 50 | 21 |
A question about Aalesund vs Rosenborg?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Aalesund vs Rosenborg?
- The Footlab AI model makes Rosenborg the favourite at 60%, against 19% for a draw and 21% for Aalesund.
- Where and when is Aalesund vs Rosenborg played?
- Aalesund vs Rosenborg is played on November 22, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Color Line Stadion, in the Eliteserien.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 76% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.