Valerenga vs Brann: prediction and stats
EliteserienRegular Season - 24Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Intility Arena, Oslo
The Footlab model makes Brann the favourite at 39%, against 23% for a draw and 38% for Valerenga. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Valerenga vs Brann?
Brann starts as the favourite with a 101-point Elo edge (2,051 vs 1,950).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Valerenga have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Brann have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Christiania BK(away) | 7-2 | NM Cupen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Aalesund(away) | 5-5 | Eliteserien |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bodo/Glimt(home) | 1-2 | Eliteserien |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Ham-Kam(home) | 0-3 | Eliteserien |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Brann(away) | 3-2 | Eliteserien |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | PAOK(away) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Ham-Kam(home) | 3-0 | Eliteserien |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Apollon Limassol(away) | 4-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Apollon Limassol(home) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Rosenborg(home) | 3-2 | Eliteserien |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Valerenga win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 Brann win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 26, 2026 | Brann 2-3 Valerenga | Eliteserien |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Brann 3-2 Valerenga | Eliteserien |
| May 3, 2025 | Valerenga 2-4 Brann | Eliteserien |
| Mar 22, 2025 | Brann 2-1 Valerenga | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 27, 2024 | Brann 3-0 Valerenga | Friendlies Clubs |
| Oct 8, 2023 | Valerenga 1-2 Brann | Eliteserien |
How many goals should we expect?
Valerenga score 2.1 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Brann score 1.9 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valerenga | 2.1 | 2.3 | 0 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Brann | 1.9 | 1.6 | 1 | 13/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Valerenga sit 11th in Eliteserien (21 points from 17 matches) and Brann sit 6th (25 points from 17 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Brann | 17 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 36 | 27 | 25 |
| 11 | Valerenga | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 28 | 34 | 21 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Valerenga vs Brann?
- The Footlab model makes Brann the favourite at 39%, against 23% for a draw and 38% for Valerenga.
- Where and when is Valerenga vs Brann played?
- Valerenga vs Brann is played on October 18, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Intility Arena, in the Eliteserien.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.