Viking vs Fredrikstad: prediction and stats
EliteserienRegular Season - 24Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Lyse Arena, Stavanger
The Footlab AI model makes Viking the favourite at 77%, against 15% for a draw and 8% for Fredrikstad. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Viking vs Fredrikstad?
Viking starts as the favourite with a 220-point Elo edge (2,199 vs 1,980).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Viking vs Fredrikstad
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Viking
4-4-2- 20P. Christiansen
- 22E. Botheim
- 7K. Askildsen
- 10Z. Tripić
- 8J. Bell
- 16H. Bjørdal
- 6G. Stensness
- 5H. Heggheim
- 28K. Haugen
- 25H. Falchener
- 1A. Østbø
Fredrikstad
3-4-3- 23H. Skogvold
- 7B. Thoresen
- 18B. Fiabema
- 16D. Eid
- 14M. Nilsson
- 6S. Leach Holm
- 13S. Sørløkk
- 4F. Holmé
- 38I. Amundsen
- 28S. Owusu
- 77M. Børsheim
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 01:42 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Viking have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Fredrikstad have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 1, 2026 | Madla(away) | 3-0 | NM Cupen |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Lillestrom(home) | 3-0 | Eliteserien |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Kristiansund BK(home) | 8-1 | Eliteserien |
| Sep 9, 2026 | VfB Stuttgart(away) | 1-3 | UEFA Champions League |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Sandefjord(away) | 1-1 | Eliteserien |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Valerenga(away) | 1-1 | Eliteserien |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Stjørdals-Blink(away) | 1-0 | NM Cupen |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Sarpsborg 08 FF(home) | 1-1 | Eliteserien |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Bodo/Glimt(home) | 1-2 | Eliteserien |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Lillestrom(away) | 4-1 | Eliteserien |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Viking wins, 1 draw, 1 Fredrikstad win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Fredrikstad 1-2 Viking | Eliteserien |
| Nov 23, 2025 | Fredrikstad 0-1 Viking | Eliteserien |
| Jun 22, 2025 | Viking 3-0 Fredrikstad | Eliteserien |
| Mar 1, 2025 | Viking 2-0 Fredrikstad | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 22, 2024 | Fredrikstad 3-2 Viking | Eliteserien |
| Apr 21, 2024 | Viking 1-1 Fredrikstad | Eliteserien |
Last archived meeting: Fredrikstad vs Viking on Apr 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Viking score 2.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Fredrikstad score 1.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Viking | 2.5 | 1.1 | 3 | 12/15 | 13/15 |
| Fredrikstad | 1.5 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Viking sit 1st in Eliteserien (50 points from 21 matches) and Fredrikstad sit 8th (28 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Viking | 21 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 54 | 20 | 50 |
| 8 | Fredrikstad | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 25 | 32 | 28 |
A question about Viking vs Fredrikstad?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Viking vs Fredrikstad?
- The Footlab AI model makes Viking the favourite at 77%, against 15% for a draw and 8% for Fredrikstad.
- Where and when is Viking vs Fredrikstad played?
- Viking vs Fredrikstad is played on October 18, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Lyse Arena, in the Eliteserien.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.