Sandefjord vs Lillestrom: prediction and stats
EliteserienRegular Season - 24Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Jotun Arena, Sandefjord
The Footlab AI model makes Sandefjord the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Lillestrom. The most likely score is 1-1. If Sandefjord wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sandefjord vs Lillestrom?
A very open match: only 60 Elo points separate Sandefjord (1,954) and Lillestrom (2,014).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Sandefjord vs Lillestrom
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Sandefjord
4-1-4-1- 9O. Kapskarmo
- 6S. Mørk
- 7E. Patoulidis
- 8T. Børkeeiet
- 10E. Gigović
- 19Bendik Berntsen
- 4F. Pedersen
- 44X. Lambrix
- 13R. Holten
- 3V. Egeli
- 30E. Hadaya
Lillestrom
4-1-4-1- 8F. Gulbrandsen
- 20Vá
- 14G. Nyheim
- 17E. Kitolano
- 22D. Bassi
- 29Y. Ibrahimaj
- 11F. Elkær
- 2L. Ranger
- 28R. Gabrielsen
- 47S. Kristiansen
- 12P. Dahlberg
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 12:53 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sandefjord have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Lillestrom have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 30, 2026 | Flint(away) | 1-0 | NM Cupen |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Start(home) | 3-0 | Eliteserien |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Bodo/Glimt(away) | 2-3 | Eliteserien |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Viking(home) | 1-1 | Eliteserien |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Brann(home) | 0-0 | Eliteserien |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 1, 2026 | Bærum(away) | 5-1 | NM Cupen |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Viking(away) | 0-3 | Eliteserien |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Torreense(home) | 1-2 | UEFA Europa League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Valerenga(home) | 2-0 | Eliteserien |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Brann(away) | 2-1 | Eliteserien |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Sandefjord wins, 1 draw, 2 Lillestrom wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Lillestrom 3-1 Sandefjord | Eliteserien |
| Jan 23, 2026 | Lillestrom 1-2 Sandefjord | Friendlies Clubs |
| Nov 23, 2024 | Lillestrom 0-3 Sandefjord | Eliteserien |
| Apr 21, 2024 | Sandefjord 0-1 Lillestrom | Eliteserien |
| Feb 16, 2024 | Lillestrom 2-2 Sandefjord | Friendlies Clubs |
| Dec 3, 2023 | Sandefjord 1-0 Lillestrom | Eliteserien |
Last archived meeting: Lillestrom vs Sandefjord on May 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sandefjord score 2.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Lillestrom score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sandefjord | 2.0 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Lillestrom | 1.5 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sandefjord sit 11th in Eliteserien (23 points from 21 matches) and Lillestrom sit 6th (32 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Lillestrom | 21 | 10 | 2 | 9 | 28 | 29 | 32 |
| 11 | Sandefjord | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 21 | 27 | 23 |
A question about Sandefjord vs Lillestrom?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sandefjord vs Lillestrom?
- The Footlab AI model makes Sandefjord the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Lillestrom.
- Where and when is Sandefjord vs Lillestrom played?
- Sandefjord vs Lillestrom is played on October 18, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Jotun Arena, in the Eliteserien.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.