Kyoto Sanga vs Maruyasu Okazaki: prediction and stats
Emperor Cup2nd RoundKick-off on August 26, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Sanga Stadium by Kyocera, Kameoka
The Footlab model makes Kyoto Sanga the favourite at 77%, against 14% for a draw and 8% for Maruyasu Okazaki. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kyoto Sanga vs Maruyasu Okazaki?
Kyoto Sanga starts as the favourite with a 234-point Elo edge (1,905 vs 1,671).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kyoto Sanga have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Maruyasu Okazaki have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Mito Hollyhock(home) | 1-3 | J1 League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kawasaki Frontale(away) | 2-2 | J1 League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | V-varen Nagasaki(away) | 1-2 | J1 League |
| Jul 17, 2026 | Shonan Bellmare(home) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Kashiwa Reysol(away) | 1-0 | J1 League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | SRC Hiroshima(away) | 6-1 | Emperor Cup |
| Nov 23, 2025 | Honda Lock(home) | 3-2 | Japan Football League |
| Nov 15, 2025 | Porvenir Asuka(away) | 1-1 | Japan Football League |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Biwako Shiga(away) | 1-1 | Japan Football League |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Tokyo Musashino City(home) | 0-1 | Japan Football League |
How many goals should we expect?
Kyoto Sanga score 1.1 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Maruyasu Okazaki score 1.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyoto Sanga | 1.1 | 2.2 | 2 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Maruyasu Okazaki | 1.5 | 1.1 | 2 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kyoto Sanga vs Maruyasu Okazaki?
- The Footlab model makes Kyoto Sanga the favourite at 77%, against 14% for a draw and 8% for Maruyasu Okazaki.
- Where and when is Kyoto Sanga vs Maruyasu Okazaki played?
- Kyoto Sanga vs Maruyasu Okazaki is played on August 26, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Sanga Stadium by Kyocera, in the Emperor Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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