Where and when is Kyoto Sanga vs Avispa Fukuoka played?

Kyoto Sanga vs Avispa Fukuoka is played on August 29, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Sanga Stadium by Kyocera, in the J1 League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Kyoto Sanga vs Avispa Fukuoka: prediction and stats

J1 LeagueRegular Season - 4Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Sanga Stadium by Kyocera, Kameoka

Kyoto Sanga

Avispa Fukuoka

The Footlab model makes Avispa Fukuoka the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Kyoto Sanga. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Kyoto Sanga vs Avispa Fukuoka?

A very open match: only 19 Elo points separate Kyoto Sanga (1,907) and Avispa Fukuoka (1,926).

Kyoto Sanga win33 %

Draw26 %

Avispa Fukuoka win41 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kyoto Sanga have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Avispa Fukuoka have 4, 7 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Kyoto Sanga
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 26, 2026	Maruyasu Okazaki(home)	1-0	Emperor Cup
Aug 22, 2026	Mito Hollyhock(home)	1-3	J1 League
Aug 15, 2026	Kawasaki Frontale(away)	2-2	J1 League
Aug 9, 2026	V-varen Nagasaki(away)	1-2	J1 League
Jul 17, 2026	Shonan Bellmare(home)	1-4	Friendlies Clubs

Avispa Fukuoka
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 26, 2026	Verspah Oita(home)	0-0	Emperor Cup
Aug 22, 2026	Kashima(away)	2-3	J1 League
Aug 15, 2026	Cerezo Osaka(home)	3-0	J1 League
Aug 8, 2026	Vissel Kobe(home)	0-1	J1 League
Jul 19, 2026	Osaka(home)	3-2	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Kyoto Sanga win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Avispa Fukuoka win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 6, 2026	Avispa Fukuoka 1-1 Kyoto Sanga	J1 League
Feb 22, 2026	Kyoto Sanga 2-0 Avispa Fukuoka	J1 League
Jul 21, 2025	Avispa Fukuoka 2-2 Kyoto Sanga	J1 League
Mar 9, 2025	Kyoto Sanga 0-1 Avispa Fukuoka	J1 League
Jul 7, 2024	Avispa Fukuoka 1-2 Kyoto Sanga	J1 League
May 11, 2024	Kyoto Sanga 2-3 Avispa Fukuoka	J1 League

Last archived meeting: Avispa Fukuoka vs Kyoto Sanga on May 6, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Kyoto Sanga score 0.9 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Avispa Fukuoka score 1.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Kyoto Sanga	0.9	2.1	3	8/15	9/15
Avispa Fukuoka	1.4	1.3	2	10/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Kyoto Sanga sit 18th in J1 League (1 points from 3 matches) and Avispa Fukuoka sit 12th (3 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
12	Avispa Fukuoka	3	1	0	2	5	4	3
18	Kyoto Sanga	3	0	1	2	4	7	1

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Kyoto Sanga vs Avispa Fukuoka?: The Footlab model makes Avispa Fukuoka the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Kyoto Sanga.
Where and when is Kyoto Sanga vs Avispa Fukuoka played?: Kyoto Sanga vs Avispa Fukuoka is played on August 29, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Sanga Stadium by Kyocera, in the J1 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.