L'Aquila vs Vigor Senigallia: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone FGroup F - 16Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Gran Sasso d'Italia, L’Aquila
The Footlab AI model makes L'Aquila the favourite at 56%, against 21% for a draw and 23% for Vigor Senigallia. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.8% of the 5,239 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 10, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win L'Aquila vs Vigor Senigallia?
On Elo ratings, L'Aquila has 1,805 points and Vigor Senigallia 1,741.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for L'Aquila vs Vigor Senigallia
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
L'Aquila
Not enough data to predict the L'Aquila lineup.
Vigor Senigallia
Not enough data to predict the Vigor Senigallia lineup.
Computed on November 10, 2026 at 09:46 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, L'Aquila have 8 wins, 6 draws and 1 defeat; Vigor Senigallia have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Montecchio Gallo(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Notaresco(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Real Normanna(away) | 0-6 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Foligno Calcio(home) | 3-2 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Recanatese(away) | 3-2 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Pietralunga(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Foligno Calcio(away) | 1-3 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Ancona(home) | 0-5 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Santegidiese(away) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Atletico Ascoli(home) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone F |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 L'Aquila wins, 3 draws, 1 Vigor Senigallia win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2026 | Vigor Senigallia 2-2 L'Aquila | Serie D - Girone F |
| Nov 2, 2025 | L'Aquila 1-0 Vigor Senigallia | Serie D - Girone F |
| Apr 6, 2025 | L'Aquila 1-2 Vigor Senigallia | Serie D - Girone F |
| Nov 24, 2024 | Vigor Senigallia 1-1 L'Aquila | Serie D - Girone F |
| Feb 4, 2024 | L'Aquila 1-1 Vigor Senigallia | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 8, 2023 | Vigor Senigallia 0-2 L'Aquila | Serie D - Girone F |
Last archived meeting: Vigor Senigallia vs L'Aquila on Mar 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
L'Aquila score 1.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Vigor Senigallia score 2.0 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L'Aquila | 1.8 | 1.1 | 7 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Vigor Senigallia | 2.0 | 2.0 | 3 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
L'Aquila sit 2nd in Serie D - Girone F (24 points from 10 matches) and Vigor Senigallia sit 8th (16 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | L'Aquila | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 20 | 7 | 24 |
| 8 | Vigor Senigallia | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 20 | 16 |
A question about L'Aquila vs Vigor Senigallia?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for L'Aquila vs Vigor Senigallia?
- The Footlab AI model makes L'Aquila the favourite at 56%, against 21% for a draw and 23% for Vigor Senigallia.
- Where and when is L'Aquila vs Vigor Senigallia played?
- L'Aquila vs Vigor Senigallia is played on December 13, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Gran Sasso d'Italia, in the Serie D - Girone F.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.