Foligno Calcio vs Santegidiese: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone FGroup F - 16Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Enzo Blasone, Foligno
The Footlab AI model makes Foligno Calcio the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Santegidiese. The most likely score is 1-1. If Foligno Calcio wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,509 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Foligno Calcio vs Santegidiese?
A very open match: only 35 Elo points separate Foligno Calcio (1,717) and Santegidiese (1,682).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Foligno Calcio vs Santegidiese
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Foligno Calcio
Not enough data to predict the Foligno Calcio lineup.
Santegidiese
Not enough data to predict the Santegidiese lineup.
Computed on October 25, 2026 at 10:32 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Foligno Calcio have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Santegidiese have 1, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | L'Aquila(away) | 2-3 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Real Giulianova(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Maceratese(away) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Angelana(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Montecchio Gallo(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Vigor Senigallia(home) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 11, 2026 | L'Aquila(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Real Giulianova(home) | 1-3 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Maceratese(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Angelana(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
How many goals should we expect?
Foligno Calcio score 0.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Santegidiese score 0.7 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Foligno Calcio | 0.9 | 0.9 | 8 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
| Santegidiese | 0.7 | 1.4 | 1 | 4/7 | 2/7 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Foligno Calcio sit 4th in Serie D - Girone F (16 points from 8 matches) and Santegidiese sit 13th (8 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Foligno Calcio | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 16 |
| 13 | Santegidiese | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 8 |
A question about Foligno Calcio vs Santegidiese?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Foligno Calcio vs Santegidiese?
- The Footlab AI model makes Foligno Calcio the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Santegidiese.
- Where and when is Foligno Calcio vs Santegidiese played?
- Foligno Calcio vs Santegidiese is played on December 13, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Enzo Blasone, in the Serie D - Girone F.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.