Lagun Onak vs Santurtzi: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 21Kick-off on February 7, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Garmendipe, Azpeitia
The Footlab AI model makes Lagun Onak the favourite at 59%, against 25% for a draw and 16% for Santurtzi. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,453 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lagun Onak vs Santurtzi?
On Elo ratings, Lagun Onak has 1,757 points and Santurtzi 1,671.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Lagun Onak vs Santurtzi
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Lagun Onak
Not enough data to predict the Lagun Onak lineup.
Santurtzi
Not enough data to predict the Santurtzi lineup.
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 01:39 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lagun Onak have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Santurtzi have 5, 1 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Touring(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Derio(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Durango(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Beasain(away) | 2-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Aretxabaleta(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Aurrerá Vitoria(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Amurrio Club(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Eibar III(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | R. Union B(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Pasaia KE(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Lagun Onak wins, 0 draws, 3 Santurtzi wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2026 | Santurtzi 0-1 Lagun Onak | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Santurtzi 0-1 Lagun Onak | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Nov 16, 2025 | Lagun Onak 1-2 Santurtzi | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| May 10, 2025 | Lagun Onak 1-4 Santurtzi | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Jan 12, 2025 | Santurtzi 2-3 Lagun Onak | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Jan 16, 2021 | Santurtzi 1-0 Lagun Onak | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
Last archived meeting: Santurtzi vs Lagun Onak on Sep 27, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Lagun Onak score 1.2 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Santurtzi score 0.9 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lagun Onak | 1.2 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Santurtzi | 0.9 | 1.6 | 2 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lagun Onak sit 15th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 (8 points from 9 matches) and Santurtzi sit 14th (9 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Santurtzi | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 9 |
| 15 | Lagun Onak | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 8 |
A question about Lagun Onak vs Santurtzi?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lagun Onak vs Santurtzi?
- The Footlab AI model makes Lagun Onak the favourite at 59%, against 25% for a draw and 16% for Santurtzi.
- Where and when is Lagun Onak vs Santurtzi played?
- Lagun Onak vs Santurtzi is played on February 7, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Garmendipe, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.