Pasaia KE vs San Ignacio: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 21Kick-off on February 7, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Campo de fútbol Jesus Mari Zamora, Errenteria
The Footlab AI model makes San Ignacio the favourite at 51%, against 27% for a draw and 22% for Pasaia KE. The most likely score is 1-1. If San Ignacio wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,608 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pasaia KE vs San Ignacio?
San Ignacio starts as the favourite with a 127-point Elo edge (1,776 vs 1,650).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Pasaia KE vs San Ignacio
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Pasaia KE
Not enough data to predict the Pasaia KE lineup.
San Ignacio
Not enough data to predict the San Ignacio lineup.
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 02:24 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pasaia KE have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; San Ignacio have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Beasain(home) | 1-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Aretxabaleta(away) | 2-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Santurtzi(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | San Ignacio(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Real Sociedad III(home) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Eibar III(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | R. Union B(away) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Pasaia KE(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Lagun Onak(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Derio(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Pasaia KE wins, 2 draws, 0 San Ignacio wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2026 | San Ignacio 1-2 Pasaia KE | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Feb 22, 2026 | San Ignacio 0-2 Pasaia KE | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 11, 2025 | Pasaia KE 1-1 San Ignacio | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Pasaia KE 0-0 San Ignacio | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Nov 1, 2024 | San Ignacio 0-1 Pasaia KE | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 20, 2024 | Pasaia KE 1-0 San Ignacio | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
Last archived meeting: San Ignacio vs Pasaia KE on Sep 27, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Pasaia KE score 1.1 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; San Ignacio score 1.5 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pasaia KE | 1.1 | 1.9 | 4 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| San Ignacio | 1.5 | 1.0 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pasaia KE sit 7th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 (10 points from 6 matches) and San Ignacio sit 8th (8 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Pasaia KE | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 10 | 10 |
| 8 | San Ignacio | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 8 |
A question about Pasaia KE vs San Ignacio?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pasaia KE vs San Ignacio?
- The Footlab AI model makes San Ignacio the favourite at 51%, against 27% for a draw and 22% for Pasaia KE.
- Where and when is Pasaia KE vs San Ignacio played?
- Pasaia KE vs San Ignacio is played on February 7, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Campo de fútbol Jesus Mari Zamora, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.