Lancaster City vs Guiseley AFC: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 23Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Giant Axe Stadium, Lancaster, Lancashire
The Footlab AI model makes Guiseley AFC the favourite at 58%, against 23% for a draw and 19% for Lancaster City. The most likely score is 1-1. If Guiseley AFC wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,460 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lancaster City vs Guiseley AFC?
Guiseley AFC starts as the favourite with a 183-point Elo edge (1,878 vs 1,696).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Lancaster City vs Guiseley AFC
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Lancaster City
Not enough data to predict the Lancaster City lineup.
Guiseley AFC
Not enough data to predict the Guiseley AFC lineup.
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 05:55 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lancaster City have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Guiseley AFC have 12, 2 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | United of Manchester(away) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 24, 2026 | AFC Emley(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Leek Town(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Stockton Town(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Warrington Town(away) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2026 | Leek Town(home) | 4-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Redcar Athletic(away) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Rylands(away) | 3-1 | FA Trophy |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Cleethorpes Town(home) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Leiston(away) | 3-0 | FA Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Lancaster City wins, 3 draws, 0 Guiseley AFC wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 28, 2026 | Guiseley AFC 1-2 Lancaster City | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Feb 7, 2026 | Guiseley AFC 0-0 Lancaster City | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Lancaster City 0-0 Guiseley AFC | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Feb 1, 2025 | Guiseley AFC 1-2 Lancaster City | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 15, 2024 | Lancaster City 1-1 Guiseley AFC | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Mar 30, 2024 | Guiseley AFC 2-3 Lancaster City | Non League Premier - Northern |
Last archived meeting: Guiseley AFC vs Lancaster City on Aug 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Lancaster City score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Guiseley AFC score 2.5 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lancaster City | 1.1 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Guiseley AFC | 2.5 | 0.9 | 5 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lancaster City sit 12th in Non League Premier - Northern (21 points from 17 matches) and Guiseley AFC sit 3rd (32 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Guiseley AFC | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 33 | 15 | 32 |
| 12 | Lancaster City | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 20 | 29 | 21 |
A question about Lancaster City vs Guiseley AFC?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lancaster City vs Guiseley AFC?
- The Footlab AI model makes Guiseley AFC the favourite at 58%, against 23% for a draw and 19% for Lancaster City.
- Where and when is Lancaster City vs Guiseley AFC played?
- Lancaster City vs Guiseley AFC is played on December 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Giant Axe Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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