Where and when is Lanzarote vs San Fernando CD played?

Lanzarote vs San Fernando CD is played on October 11, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Campo de fútbol Francisco Bermúdez Hernández, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Lanzarote vs San Fernando CD: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 12Group 12 - 6Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Campo de fútbol Francisco Bermúdez Hernández, Tías

Lanzarote

San Fernando CD

The Footlab model makes Lanzarote the favourite at 54%, against 26% for a draw and 20% for San Fernando CD. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Lanzarote vs San Fernando CD?

A very open match: only 40 Elo points separate Lanzarote (1,782) and San Fernando CD (1,742).

Lanzarote win54 %

Draw26 %

San Fernando CD win20 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lanzarote have 2 wins, 9 draws and 4 defeats; San Fernando CD have 1, 6 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Lanzarote
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	Real Unión de Tenerife(home)	0-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
May 3, 2026	San Bartolomé(away)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 25, 2026	Tamaraceite(away)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 19, 2026	UD San Fernando(home)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 11, 2026	Herbania(away)	0-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12

San Fernando CD
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Jun 7, 2026	Tamaraceite(home)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
May 30, 2026	Tamaraceite(away)	0-3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Oct 28, 2025	Albacete(home)	0-3	Copa del Rey
May 4, 2025	Cádiz II(away)	0-2	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 27, 2025	Juventud Torremolinos(home)	0-1	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4

How many goals should we expect?

Lanzarote score 0.8 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; San Fernando CD score 0.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Lanzarote	0.8	1.0	4	8/15	3/15
San Fernando CD	0.4	1.3	4	3/15	3/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
9	Lanzarote	34	12	12	10	45	36	48

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Lanzarote vs San Fernando CD?: The Footlab model makes Lanzarote the favourite at 54%, against 26% for a draw and 20% for San Fernando CD.
Where and when is Lanzarote vs San Fernando CD played?: Lanzarote vs San Fernando CD is played on October 11, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Campo de fútbol Francisco Bermúdez Hernández, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.