Panadería Pulido vs Villa Santa Brígida: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 12Group 12 - 16Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Campo de Futbol Vega de San Mateo, Vega de San Mateo
The Footlab model makes Panadería Pulido the favourite at 51%, against 28% for a draw and 21% for Villa Santa Brígida. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Panadería Pulido vs Villa Santa Brígida?
A very open match: only 55 Elo points separate Panadería Pulido (1,809) and Villa Santa Brígida (1,754).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Panadería Pulido have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Villa Santa Brígida have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | UD San Fernando(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| May 16, 2026 | UD San Fernando(home) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| May 10, 2026 | Unión Sur Yaiza(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| May 3, 2026 | San Miguel(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Atlético Paso(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 8, 2026 | Telde(away) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| May 1, 2026 | Marino(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Mensajero(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Tenerife C(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | San Bartolomé(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Panadería Pulido win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Villa Santa Brígida win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2026 | Villa Santa Brígida 1-1 Panadería Pulido | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Panadería Pulido 2-1 Villa Santa Brígida | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| May 4, 2025 | Panadería Pulido 0-0 Villa Santa Brígida | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Dec 20, 2024 | Villa Santa Brígida 2-1 Panadería Pulido | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Apr 5, 2024 | Villa Santa Brígida 3-4 Panadería Pulido | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Nov 17, 2023 | Panadería Pulido 0-0 Villa Santa Brígida | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
Last archived meeting: Villa Santa Brígida vs Panadería Pulido on Jan 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Panadería Pulido score 1.0 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Villa Santa Brígida score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Panadería Pulido | 1.0 | 1.2 | 3 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
| Villa Santa Brígida | 1.3 | 1.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Panadería Pulido sit 5th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 (55 points from 34 matches) and Villa Santa Brígida sit 8th (50 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Panadería Pulido | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 47 | 33 | 55 |
| 8 | Villa Santa Brígida | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 42 | 35 | 50 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Panadería Pulido vs Villa Santa Brígida?
- The Footlab model makes Panadería Pulido the favourite at 51%, against 28% for a draw and 21% for Villa Santa Brígida.
- Where and when is Panadería Pulido vs Villa Santa Brígida played?
- Panadería Pulido vs Villa Santa Brígida is played on December 20, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Campo de Futbol Vega de San Mateo, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 20, 2026MensajerovsLanzarote
- Dec 20, 2026San Fernando CDvsLos Llanos
- Dec 20, 2026Las Palmas IIIvsMarino
- Dec 20, 2026San BartolomévsReal Unión de Tenerife
- Dec 20, 2026Tenerife CvsEstrella
- Dec 20, 2026San MiguelvsPlayas Sotavento
- Dec 20, 2026AnazavsUnión Sur Yaiza
- Dec 20, 2026Villaverde NortevsLaguna de Duero