Las Palmas III vs Playas Sotavento: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 12Group 12 · Matchday 19Kick-off on January 24, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Anexo Gran Canaria, Las Palmas de Gran Canaria
The Footlab AI model makes Las Palmas III the favourite at 81%, against 13% for a draw and 6% for Playas Sotavento. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 5,832 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Las Palmas III vs Playas Sotavento?
Las Palmas III starts as the favourite with a 163-point Elo edge (1,799 vs 1,636).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Las Palmas III vs Playas Sotavento
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Las Palmas III
4-3-3- VVíctor José Socorro Quintana
- HHéctor David Castillo Martín
- AAbian Santos Vergara
- SSamuel Antonio Ramos Linares
- GGabriel Felipe Arrocha
- JJosé Ángel Betancort Pérez
- IIan Bolaños Gracia
- BBrian Velázquez Cardona
- UUssama Ahmed Ouzzani
- ÁÁlvaro Manuel Santana Hernández
- AAlejandro González Gorrín
Playas Sotavento
Not enough data to predict the Playas Sotavento lineup.
Computed on November 14, 2026 at 02:46 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Las Palmas III have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Playas Sotavento have 1, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | San Miguel(away) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Anaza(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Tenerife C(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Laguna de Duero(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Mensajero(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2026 | Lanzarote(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Nov 7, 2026 | Estrella(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Unión Sur Yaiza(home) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Panadería Pulido(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 21, 2026 | San Bartolomé(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 1 Las Palmas III win, 0 draws, 0 Playas Sotavento wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | Playas Sotavento 0-2 Las Palmas III | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
Last archived meeting: Playas Sotavento vs Las Palmas III on Sep 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Las Palmas III score 1.6 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Playas Sotavento score 0.8 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Las Palmas III | 1.6 | 1.0 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Playas Sotavento | 0.8 | 2.3 | 0 | 8/12 | 6/12 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Las Palmas III sit 5th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 (16 points from 10 matches) and Playas Sotavento sit 17th (4 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Las Palmas III | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 20 | 12 | 16 |
| 17 | Playas Sotavento | 10 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 4 |
A question about Las Palmas III vs Playas Sotavento?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Las Palmas III vs Playas Sotavento?
- The Footlab AI model makes Las Palmas III the favourite at 81%, against 13% for a draw and 6% for Playas Sotavento.
- Where and when is Las Palmas III vs Playas Sotavento played?
- Las Palmas III vs Playas Sotavento is played on January 24, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Anexo Gran Canaria, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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