Match

Villaverde Norte vs Estrella: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 12Group 12 - 19Kick-off on January 24, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)

Villaverde NorteEstrella

The Footlab AI model makes Villaverde Norte the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Estrella. The most likely score is 1-1. If Villaverde Norte wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,617 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Villaverde Norte vs Estrella?

A very open match: only 74 Elo points separate Villaverde Norte (1,694) and Estrella (1,620).

45%26%29%
Villaverde Norte winDrawEstrella win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Villaverde Norte vs Estrella

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Villaverde Norte

Not enough data to predict the Villaverde Norte lineup.

Estrella

4-3-3
  1. AAdrián Socorro
  2. MMarco
  3. AAlejo
  1. KKevin Suárez
  2. VVictor Jesús Lorenzo Lorenzo
  3. FFede Manzi
  1. JJaime
  2. FFran Ramírez
  3. IIan Bolaños Gracia
  4. AAythami Artiles Oliva
  1. AArturo Caballero

Computed on October 18, 2026 at 06:02 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 6 matches in all competitions, Villaverde Norte have 0 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Estrella have 4, 6 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Villaverde Norte
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Anaza(home)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Oct 10, 2026Tenerife C(away)1-4Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Oct 3, 2026Mensajero(home)1-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Sep 26, 2026Villa Santa Brígida(away)0-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Sep 19, 2026Lanzarote(home)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Estrella
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Los Llanos(home)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Oct 4, 2026UD San Fernando(away)0-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Sep 25, 2026Las Palmas III(home)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Sep 19, 2026San Bartolomé(away)2-4Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Sep 12, 2026Villaverde Norte(home)3-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 12

What does the head-to-head say?

In the last meeting: 0 Villaverde Norte wins, 0 draws, 1 Estrella win.

DateScoreCompetition
Sep 12, 2026Estrella 3-1 Villaverde NorteTercera División RFEF - Group 12

Last archived meeting: Estrella vs Villaverde Norte on Sep 12, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Villaverde Norte score 0.8 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 6; Estrella score 1.2 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Villaverde Norte0.82.205/63/6
Estrella1.21.439/156/15

Over the last 6 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Villaverde Norte sit 18th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 (1 point from 5 matches) and Estrella sit 12th (7 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
12Estrella5212797
18Villaverde Norte50144121

A question about Villaverde Norte vs Estrella?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Villaverde Norte vs Estrella?
The Footlab AI model makes Villaverde Norte the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Estrella.
Where and when is Villaverde Norte vs Estrella played?
Villaverde Norte vs Estrella is played on January 24, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC), in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Villaverde Norte and Estrella

Ready to know everything about football?