San Miguel vs Lanzarote: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 12Group 12 - 19Kick-off on January 24, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes San Miguel the favourite at 52%, against 27% for a draw and 21% for Lanzarote. The most likely score is 1-1. If San Miguel wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,664 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win San Miguel vs Lanzarote?
On Elo ratings, San Miguel has 1,780 points and Lanzarote 1,774.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for San Miguel vs Lanzarote
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
San Miguel
Not enough data to predict the San Miguel lineup.
Lanzarote
Not enough data to predict the Lanzarote lineup.
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 11:10 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, San Miguel have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Lanzarote have 3, 9 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Panadería Pulido(away) | 1-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Anaza(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Tenerife C(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Mensajero(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Villa Santa Brígida(home) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Los Llanos(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | UD San Fernando(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Las Palmas III(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | San Bartolomé(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Villaverde Norte(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 San Miguel wins, 3 draws, 0 Lanzarote wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2026 | Lanzarote 1-1 San Miguel | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Feb 22, 2026 | Lanzarote 1-1 San Miguel | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 11, 2025 | San Miguel 1-1 Lanzarote | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
Last archived meeting: Lanzarote vs San Miguel on Sep 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
San Miguel score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Lanzarote score 0.9 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Miguel | 1.5 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Lanzarote | 0.9 | 1.0 | 3 | 9/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
San Miguel sit 5th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 (10 points from 6 matches) and Lanzarote sit 13th (6 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | San Miguel | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 10 |
| 13 | Lanzarote | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 6 |
A question about San Miguel vs Lanzarote?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for San Miguel vs Lanzarote?
- The Footlab AI model makes San Miguel the favourite at 52%, against 27% for a draw and 21% for Lanzarote.
- Where and when is San Miguel vs Lanzarote played?
- San Miguel vs Lanzarote is played on January 24, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC), in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 24, 2027San Fernando CDvsLaguna de Duero
- Jan 24, 2027Las Palmas IIIvsPlayas Sotavento
- Jan 24, 2027Panadería PulidovsMarino
- Jan 24, 2027San BartolomévsUnión Sur Yaiza
- Jan 24, 2027Los LlanosvsReal Unión de Tenerife
- Jan 24, 2027Tenerife CvsMensajero
- Jan 24, 2027AnazavsVilla Santa Brígida
- Jan 24, 2027Villaverde NortevsEstrella