Match

San Fernando CD vs Laguna de Duero: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 12Group 12 - 19Kick-off on January 24, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Iberoamericano 2010, San Fernando

San Fernando CDLaguna de Duero

The Footlab model makes San Fernando CD the favourite at 65%, against 22% for a draw and 13% for Laguna de Duero. The most likely score is 2-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win San Fernando CD vs Laguna de Duero?

San Fernando CD starts as the favourite with a 201-point Elo edge (1,746 vs 1,545).

San Fernando CD win65 %
Draw22 %
Laguna de Duero win13 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, San Fernando CD have 1 wins, 6 draws and 8 defeats; Laguna de Duero have 3, 3 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

San Fernando CD
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Jun 7, 2026Tamaraceite(home)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
May 30, 2026Tamaraceite(away)0-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Oct 28, 2025Albacete(home)0-3Copa del Rey
May 4, 2025Cádiz II(away)0-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 27, 2025Juventud Torremolinos(home)0-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Laguna de Duero
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 10, 2025Cultural Leonesa II(home)1-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
May 4, 2025Cristo Atlético(away)1-4Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
May 1, 2025Mirandés II(home)1-4Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 26, 2025Atlético Mansillés(away)0-5Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 20, 2025Ciudad Rodrigo(home)0-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 8

How many goals should we expect?

San Fernando CD score 0.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Laguna de Duero score 0.9 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
San Fernando CD0.41.343/153/15
Laguna de Duero0.92.137/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for San Fernando CD vs Laguna de Duero?
The Footlab model makes San Fernando CD the favourite at 65%, against 22% for a draw and 13% for Laguna de Duero.
Where and when is San Fernando CD vs Laguna de Duero played?
San Fernando CD vs Laguna de Duero is played on January 24, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Iberoamericano 2010, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: San Fernando CD and Laguna de Duero

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