San Bartolomé vs Unión Sur Yaiza: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 12Group 12 - 19Kick-off on January 24, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Pedro Espinosa De León, San Bartolomé
The Footlab AI model makes San Bartolomé the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Unión Sur Yaiza. The most likely score is 1-1. If San Bartolomé wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.0% of the 5,387 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 11, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win San Bartolomé vs Unión Sur Yaiza?
A very open match: only 56 Elo points separate San Bartolomé (1,659) and Unión Sur Yaiza (1,715).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for San Bartolomé vs Unión Sur Yaiza
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
San Bartolomé
Not enough data to predict the San Bartolomé lineup.
Unión Sur Yaiza
Not enough data to predict the Unión Sur Yaiza lineup.
Computed on November 11, 2026 at 04:45 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, San Bartolomé have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Unión Sur Yaiza have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Villaverde Norte(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 31, 2026 | San Miguel(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Anaza(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Playas Sotavento(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Tenerife C(home) | 2-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Panadería Pulido(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Playas Sotavento(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Laguna de Duero(home) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Villaverde Norte(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Real Unión de Tenerife(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 4 San Bartolomé wins, 0 draws, 1 Unión Sur Yaiza win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 11, 2026 | Unión Sur Yaiza 0-1 San Bartolomé | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Apr 1, 2026 | Unión Sur Yaiza 1-4 San Bartolomé | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Nov 22, 2025 | San Bartolomé 1-0 Unión Sur Yaiza | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Apr 20, 2024 | San Bartolomé 1-0 Unión Sur Yaiza | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Dec 2, 2023 | Unión Sur Yaiza 2-1 San Bartolomé | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
Last archived meeting: Unión Sur Yaiza vs San Bartolomé on Sep 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
San Bartolomé score 1.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Unión Sur Yaiza score 1.3 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Bartolomé | 1.1 | 1.2 | 4 | 9/15 | 5/15 |
| Unión Sur Yaiza | 1.3 | 0.8 | 7 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
San Bartolomé sit 13th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 (10 points from 10 matches) and Unión Sur Yaiza sit 6th (16 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Unión Sur Yaiza | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 11 | 16 |
| 13 | San Bartolomé | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 16 | 10 |
A question about San Bartolomé vs Unión Sur Yaiza?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for San Bartolomé vs Unión Sur Yaiza?
- The Footlab AI model makes San Bartolomé the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Unión Sur Yaiza.
- Where and when is San Bartolomé vs Unión Sur Yaiza played?
- San Bartolomé vs Unión Sur Yaiza is played on January 24, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Pedro Espinosa De León, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.0% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Jan 24, 2027Los LlanosvsReal Unión de Tenerife
- Jan 24, 2027Tenerife CvsMensajero
- Jan 24, 2027San MiguelvsLanzarote
- Jan 24, 2027AnazavsVilla Santa Brígida
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