Where and when is Las Palmas III vs Panadería Pulido played?

Las Palmas III vs Panadería Pulido is played on April 11, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Anexo Gran Canaria, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Las Palmas III vs Panadería Pulido: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 12Group 12 - 30Kick-off on April 11, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Anexo Gran Canaria, Las Palmas de Gran Canaria

Las Palmas III

Panadería Pulido

The Footlab model makes Las Palmas III the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Panadería Pulido. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Las Palmas III vs Panadería Pulido?

A very open match: only 7 Elo points separate Las Palmas III (1,819) and Panadería Pulido (1,813).

Las Palmas III win44 %

Draw28 %

Panadería Pulido win29 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Las Palmas III have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Panadería Pulido have 5, 5 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Las Palmas III
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	San Miguel(home)	0-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
May 3, 2026	Atlético Paso(away)	0-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 25, 2026	Tenisca(home)	2-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 22, 2026	Panadería Pulido(home)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 18, 2026	Real Unión de Tenerife(away)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12

Panadería Pulido
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 24, 2026	UD San Fernando(away)	2-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
May 16, 2026	UD San Fernando(home)	0-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
May 10, 2026	Unión Sur Yaiza(home)	0-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
May 3, 2026	San Miguel(away)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 25, 2026	Atlético Paso(home)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 4 Las Palmas III win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Panadería Pulido win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 22, 2026	Las Palmas III 1-0 Panadería Pulido	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Nov 8, 2025	Panadería Pulido 2-3 Las Palmas III	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 11, 2021	Panadería Pulido 1-0 Las Palmas III	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Nov 28, 2020	Las Palmas III 1-0 Panadería Pulido	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Nov 2, 2019	Las Palmas III 2-0 Panadería Pulido	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12

Last archived meeting: Las Palmas III vs Panadería Pulido on Apr 22, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Las Palmas III score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Panadería Pulido score 1.0 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Las Palmas III	1.3	1.1	4	8/15	5/15
Panadería Pulido	1.0	1.2	3	8/15	5/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Las Palmas III sit 6th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 (54 points from 34 matches) and Panadería Pulido sit 5th (55 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
5	Panadería Pulido	34	15	10	9	47	33	55
6	Las Palmas III	34	15	9	10	58	42	54

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Las Palmas III vs Panadería Pulido?: The Footlab model makes Las Palmas III the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Panadería Pulido.
Where and when is Las Palmas III vs Panadería Pulido played?: Las Palmas III vs Panadería Pulido is played on April 11, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Anexo Gran Canaria, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.