Where and when is San Bartolomé vs San Fernando CD played?

San Bartolomé vs San Fernando CD is played on April 11, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Pedro Espinosa De León, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

San Bartolomé vs San Fernando CD: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 12Group 12 - 30Kick-off on April 11, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Pedro Espinosa De León, San Bartolomé

San Bartolomé

San Fernando CD

The Footlab model makes San Bartolomé the favourite at 46%, against 28% for a draw and 26% for San Fernando CD. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win San Bartolomé vs San Fernando CD?

A very open match: only 35 Elo points separate San Bartolomé (1,711) and San Fernando CD (1,746).

San Bartolomé win46 %

Draw28 %

San Fernando CD win26 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, San Bartolomé have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; San Fernando CD have 1, 6 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

San Bartolomé
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	Tenerife C(away)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
May 3, 2026	Lanzarote(home)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 25, 2026	UD San Fernando(home)	0-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 18, 2026	Arucas(away)	0-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 11, 2026	Villa Santa Brígida(home)	2-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12

San Fernando CD
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Jun 7, 2026	Tamaraceite(home)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
May 30, 2026	Tamaraceite(away)	0-3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Oct 28, 2025	Albacete(home)	0-3	Copa del Rey
May 4, 2025	Cádiz II(away)	0-2	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 27, 2025	Juventud Torremolinos(home)	0-1	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4

How many goals should we expect?

San Bartolomé score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; San Fernando CD score 0.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
San Bartolomé	1.1	1.3	5	7/15	7/15
San Fernando CD	0.4	1.3	4	3/15	3/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
14	San Bartolomé	34	8	12	14	30	55	36

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for San Bartolomé vs San Fernando CD?: The Footlab model makes San Bartolomé the favourite at 46%, against 28% for a draw and 26% for San Fernando CD.
Where and when is San Bartolomé vs San Fernando CD played?: San Bartolomé vs San Fernando CD is played on April 11, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Pedro Espinosa De León, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.