San Bartolomé vs San Fernando CD: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 12Group 12 - 30Kick-off on April 11, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Pedro Espinosa De León, San Bartolomé
The Footlab AI model makes San Bartolomé the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for San Fernando CD. The most likely score is 1-1. If San Bartolomé wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,449 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win San Bartolomé vs San Fernando CD?
A very open match: only 32 Elo points separate San Bartolomé (1,705) and San Fernando CD (1,737).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for San Bartolomé vs San Fernando CD
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
San Bartolomé
Not enough data to predict the San Bartolomé lineup.
San Fernando CD
4-3-3- 11A. F. Quintero Guevara
- 25I. Traore
- 22J. Martel
- 20C. Ferreira
- JJuan Escobar
- RRafa de Vicente
- 24Jeremi Rodríguez
- 4S. Serbourdin
- 21C. Ribalta
- 17A. Velicias
- 1F. Aleman
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 12:37 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, San Bartolomé have 5 wins, 7 draws and 3 defeats; San Fernando CD have 1, 5 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | San Miguel(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Anaza(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Playas Sotavento(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Tenerife C(home) | 2-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Mensajero(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 8, 2026 | Orihuela(home) | 1-3 | Copa Federacion |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Tamaraceite(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| May 30, 2026 | Tamaraceite(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 28, 2025 | Albacete(home) | 0-3 | Copa del Rey |
| May 4, 2025 | Cádiz II(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
How many goals should we expect?
San Bartolomé score 1.4 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; San Fernando CD score 0.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Bartolomé | 1.4 | 1.1 | 4 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
| San Fernando CD | 0.5 | 1.5 | 3 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | San Bartolomé | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 14 | 10 |
A question about San Bartolomé vs San Fernando CD?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for San Bartolomé vs San Fernando CD?
- The Footlab AI model makes San Bartolomé the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for San Fernando CD.
- Where and when is San Bartolomé vs San Fernando CD played?
- San Bartolomé vs San Fernando CD is played on April 11, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Pedro Espinosa De León, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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