Match

Lecce vs Sassuolo: prediction and stats

Serie ARegular Season - 15Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Via del Mare, Lecce

LecceSassuolo

The Footlab AI model makes Sassuolo the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Lecce. The most likely score is 1-1. If Sassuolo wins, the most likely score is 0-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Lecce vs Sassuolo?

Sassuolo starts as the favourite with a 104-point Elo edge (2,003 vs 1,898).

24%26%50%
Lecce winDrawSassuolo win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Lecce vs Sassuolo

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Lecce

4-3-3
  1. 50S. Pierotti
  2. 22Paco Esteban
  3. 7A. Ahmed Fatah
  1. 29L. Coulibaly
  2. 20I. Ilić
  3. 14Y. Maleh
  1. 17Danilo Veiga
  2. 25A. Gallo
  3. 5J. Siebert
  4. 44Tiago Gabriel
  1. 30W. Falcone

Sassuolo

4-3-3
  1. 45A. Laurienté
  2. 94S. Esposito
  3. 10D. Berardi
  1. 18N. Matić
  2. 50D. Bakola
  3. 17Vasilije Adžić
  1. 3J. Doig
  2. 16F. Leysen
  3. 15D. Ćaleta-Car
  4. 20I. Van der Brempt
  1. 49A. Murić

Computed on October 14, 2026 at 12:41 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lecce have 7 wins, 1 draw and 7 defeats; Sassuolo have 4, 4 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Lecce
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Bologna(home)1-2Serie A
Sep 20, 2026AC Milan(away)0-3Serie A
Sep 13, 2026Monza(home)3-2Serie A
Sep 7, 2026Cagliari(away)0-1Serie A
Aug 31, 2026AS Roma(home)0-4Serie A
Sassuolo
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026AC Milan(home)1-1Serie A
Sep 18, 2026Monza(away)1-2Serie A
Sep 13, 2026Juventus(home)3-2Serie A
Sep 6, 2026Bologna(away)2-2Serie A
Sep 2, 2026Frosinone(home)1-1Coppa Italia

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Lecce wins, 2 draws, 2 Sassuolo wins.

DateScoreCompetition
May 17, 2026Sassuolo 2-3 LecceSerie A
Oct 18, 2025Lecce 0-0 SassuoloSerie A
Sep 24, 2024Lecce 0-2 SassuoloCoppa Italia
Apr 21, 2024Sassuolo 0-3 LecceSerie A
Oct 6, 2023Lecce 1-1 SassuoloSerie A
Feb 25, 2023Lecce 0-1 SassuoloSerie A

Last archived meeting: Sassuolo vs Lecce on May 17, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Lecce score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Sassuolo score 1.6 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Lecce1.31.545/157/15
Sassuolo1.61.7212/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Lecce sit 13th in Serie A (6 points from 6 matches) and Sassuolo sit 11th (8 points from 6 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
11Sassuolo622210108
13Lecce62046126

A question about Lecce vs Sassuolo?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Lecce vs Sassuolo?
The Footlab AI model makes Sassuolo the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Lecce.
Where and when is Lecce vs Sassuolo played?
Lecce vs Sassuolo is played on December 13, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Via del Mare, in the Serie A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Lecce and Sassuolo

Ready to know everything about football?