Cagliari vs Venezia: prediction and stats
Serie ARegular Season - 15Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Unipol Domus, Cagliari
The Footlab AI model makes Venezia the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Cagliari. The most likely score is 1-1. If Venezia wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,857 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cagliari vs Venezia?
A very open match: only 10 Elo points separate Cagliari (1,972) and Venezia (1,982).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Cagliari vs Venezia
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Cagliari
4-3-1-2- 31P. Mendy
- 18M'Bala Nzola
- 6H. Winks
- 8M. Adopo
- 4A. Romano
- 70D. Maldini
- 15J. Rodríguez
- 2Zé Pedro
- 33A. Obert
- 26Y. Mina
- 1E. Caprile
Venezia
3-5-2- 45A. Adams
- 10J. Yeboah
- 71Kike Pérez
- 18A. Hainaut
- 19S. Sohm
- 26T. Bašić
- 5R. Haps
- 2M. Moreno
- 15Juan Jesus
- 25R. Halhal
- 1F. Stanković
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 07:03 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cagliari have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Venezia have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2026 | Monza(away) | 0-4 | Serie A |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Juventus(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Udinese(away) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Atalanta(away) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Lecce(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Napoli(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Atalanta(away) | 1-3 | Serie A |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Lazio(home) | 0-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Fiorentina(home) | 2-4 | Serie A |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Frosinone(away) | 2-3 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Cagliari wins, 2 draws, 2 Venezia wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 18, 2025 | Cagliari 3-0 Venezia | Serie A |
| Dec 22, 2024 | Venezia 2-1 Cagliari | Serie A |
| May 27, 2023 | Cagliari 2-1 Venezia | Serie B |
| Feb 25, 2023 | Venezia 0-0 Cagliari | Serie B |
| Oct 1, 2022 | Cagliari 1-4 Venezia | Serie B |
| May 22, 2022 | Venezia 0-0 Cagliari | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Cagliari score 1.0 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Venezia score 2.1 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cagliari | 1.0 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Venezia | 2.1 | 1.9 | 4 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cagliari sit 7th in Serie A (13 points from 7 matches) and Venezia sit 20th (3 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Cagliari | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 13 |
| 20 | Venezia | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 3 |
A question about Cagliari vs Venezia?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cagliari vs Venezia?
- The Footlab AI model makes Venezia the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Cagliari.
- Where and when is Cagliari vs Venezia played?
- Cagliari vs Venezia is played on December 13, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at Unipol Domus, in the Serie A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.