Bologna vs AS Roma: prediction and stats
Serie ARegular Season - 14Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Renato Dall'Ara, Bologna
The Footlab model makes AS Roma the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Bologna. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bologna vs AS Roma?
AS Roma starts as the favourite with a 119-point Elo edge (2,169 vs 2,049).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bologna have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; AS Roma have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Brighton(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Pisa(home) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Cambuur(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Iraklis 1908(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 22, 2026 | 1. FC Heidenheim(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Borussia Dortmund(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Brighton(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Newport County(away) | 4-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Cardiff(away) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Cannes(away) | 3-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Bologna win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 AS Roma win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Bologna 0-2 AS Roma | Serie A |
| Mar 19, 2026 | AS Roma 3-4 Bologna | UEFA Europa League |
| Mar 12, 2026 | Bologna 1-1 AS Roma | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 23, 2025 | AS Roma 1-0 Bologna | Serie A |
| Jan 12, 2025 | Bologna 2-2 AS Roma | Serie A |
| Nov 10, 2024 | AS Roma 2-3 Bologna | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Bologna score 1.1 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; AS Roma score 2.2 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bologna | 1.1 | 1.8 | 4 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| AS Roma | 2.2 | 1.7 | 6 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bologna sit 8th in Serie A (56 points from 38 matches) and AS Roma sit 3rd (73 points from 38 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | AS Roma | 38 | 23 | 4 | 11 | 59 | 31 | 73 |
| 8 | Bologna | 38 | 16 | 8 | 14 | 49 | 46 | 56 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bologna vs AS Roma?
- The Footlab model makes AS Roma the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Bologna.
- Where and when is Bologna vs AS Roma played?
- Bologna vs AS Roma is played on December 6, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Renato Dall'Ara, in the Serie A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.